Altria Group Stock Performance

MO Stock  USD 66.54  0.71  1.06%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Altria holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Altria are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Altria is likely to outperform the market. Please check Altria's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Altria's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Altria Group are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Altria displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.06)
Five Day Return
1.19
Year To Date Return
16.11
Ten Year Return
10.17
All Time Return
35.1 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0637
Payout Ratio
0.7675
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
4.24
Dividend Date
2026-01-09
 
Altria dividend paid on 9th of January 2026
01/09/2026
1
Altria Lags Q4 Earnings Estimates
01/29/2026
2
Disposition of 15700 shares by William Gifford of Altria subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
3
Is It Too Late To Consider Altria Group After A Strong MultiYear Rally
02/05/2026
4
Stocks Generating Improved Relative Strength Altria Group
02/06/2026
5
Wealthfront Advisers LLC Purchases 15,637 Shares of Altria Group, Inc. MO
02/10/2026
6
How Investors Are Reacting To Altria Earnings Decline Amid Buybacks, Dividends And CEO Transition
02/12/2026
7
Altrias Debt-Fueled Buybacks and Dividend Streak Could Be A Game Changer For Altria Group
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow3.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-341 M

Altria Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,713  in Altria Group on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  941.00  from holding Altria Group or generate 16.47% return on investment over 90 days. Altria Group is generating 0.2689% of daily returns and assumes 1.433% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 12% of stocks are less risky than Altria on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 95% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Altria is expected to generate 1.89 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of risk.

Altria Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Altria Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 66.54 90 days 66.54 
about 1.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altria to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.5 (This Altria Group probability density function shows the probability of Altria Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Altria Group has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Altria are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Altria Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Altria Group has an alpha of 0.2312, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Altria Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Altria

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altria Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.1266.5567.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.0863.5173.19
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
57.5663.2570.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.231.261.27
Details

Altria Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altria Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
3.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Altria Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altria Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Altria Group reports 25.71 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.56, which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. Altria Group has a current ratio of 0.48, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Altria to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
About 63.0% of Altria shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of January 2026 Altria paid $ 1.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from pbs.org: Roses are red, violets are blue, if cocoa is cheaper why isnt chocolate, too

Altria Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Altria Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Altria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 B

Altria Fundamentals Growth

Altria Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Altria, and Altria fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Altria Stock performance.

About Altria Performance

By examining Altria's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Altria's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Altria is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 144.59  138.70 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.40  0.42 
Return On Capital Employed 0.58  0.61 
Return On Assets 0.20  0.21 
Return On Equity(1.98)(1.88)

Things to note about Altria Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Altria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Altria Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Altria Group reports 25.71 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.56, which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. Altria Group has a current ratio of 0.48, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Altria to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
About 63.0% of Altria shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of January 2026 Altria paid $ 1.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from pbs.org: Roses are red, violets are blue, if cocoa is cheaper why isnt chocolate, too
Evaluating Altria's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Altria's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Altria's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Altria's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Altria's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Altria's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Altria's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Altria's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Altria's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Altria's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Altria's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Altria Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Tobacco sector continue expanding? Could Altria diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altria. Expected growth trajectory for Altria significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Altria data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.63)
Dividend Share
4.16
Earnings Share
4.12
Revenue Per Share
11.966
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Investors evaluate Altria Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Altria's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Altria's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Altria's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Altria represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Altria's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.