Merck Company Stock Performance

MRK Stock  USD 108.34  1.44  1.35%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Merck holds a performance score of 18. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.73, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Merck's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Merck is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Merck's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Merck's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merck Company are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak basic indicators, Merck disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.35
Five Day Return
(0.69)
Year To Date Return
1.78
Ten Year Return
124.21
All Time Return
27.3 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0318
Payout Ratio
0.3792
Last Split Factor
1048:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
3.4
Dividend Date
2026-01-08
 
Merck dividend paid on 8th of January 2026
01/08/2026
1
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2
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01/20/2026
3
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4
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01/23/2026
5
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01/26/2026
6
Merck Earnings Expected to Grow What to Know Ahead of Next Weeks Release
01/27/2026
7
Merck Co., Inc. Stock Price Up 1.3 percent Heres What Happened
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.9 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.7 B

Merck Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,525  in Merck Company on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,309  from holding Merck Company or generate 27.09% return on investment over 90 days. Merck Company is generating 0.4082% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7222% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Merck, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Merck is expected to generate 2.3 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Merck Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Merck Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 108.34 90 days 108.34 
about 15.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merck to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.92 (This Merck Company probability density function shows the probability of Merck Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Merck has a beta of 0.73. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Merck average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Merck Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Merck Company has an alpha of 0.3035, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Merck Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Merck

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merck Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.62108.34110.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.51120.83122.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
100.84102.57104.29
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
106.91117.48130.40
Details

Merck Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merck is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merck's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merck Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merck within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
8.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Merck Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merck for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merck Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of January 2026 Merck paid $ 0.85 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Merck Co., Inc. Stock Price Up 1.3 percent Heres What Happened

Merck Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Merck Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Merck's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merck's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 B

Merck Fundamentals Growth

Merck Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Merck, and Merck fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Merck Stock performance.

About Merck Performance

By examining Merck's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Merck's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Merck is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 168.78  174.83 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.25  0.18 
Return On Capital Employed 0.26  0.24 
Return On Assets 0.17  0.13 
Return On Equity 0.43  0.32 

Things to note about Merck Company performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Merck for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Merck Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of January 2026 Merck paid $ 0.85 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Merck Co., Inc. Stock Price Up 1.3 percent Heres What Happened
Evaluating Merck's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Merck's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Merck's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Merck's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Merck's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Merck's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Merck's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Merck's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Merck's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Merck's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Merck's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Merck Company is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Merck Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Merck Company Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Merck Company Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Merck Company. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merck. Expected growth trajectory for Merck significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Merck assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.87
Dividend Share
3.2
Earnings Share
7.56
Revenue Per Share
25.559
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
Understanding Merck Company requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Merck's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Merck's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Merck's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Merck's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Merck represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Merck's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.