Merlin Properties (Portugal) Performance

MRL Stock  EUR 12.51  0.13  1.05%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.1, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Merlin Properties are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Merlin Properties is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Merlin Properties SOCIMI has a negative expected return of -0.0573%. Please make sure to verify Merlin Properties' value at risk, accumulation distribution, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the skewness and rate of daily change , to decide if Merlin Properties SOCIMI performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Merlin Properties SOCIMI has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable essential indicators, Merlin Properties is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Quick Ratio0.96
Fifty Two Week Low7.46
Payout Ratio29.21%
Fifty Two Week High10.97
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.80%
  

Merlin Properties Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,328  in Merlin Properties SOCIMI on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (77.00) from holding Merlin Properties SOCIMI or give up 5.8% of portfolio value over 90 days. Merlin Properties SOCIMI is producing return of less than zero assuming 2.7657% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 24% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Merlin Properties, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merlin Properties is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Merlin Properties Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Merlin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.51 90 days 12.51 
about 55.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merlin Properties to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 55.96 (This Merlin Properties SOCIMI probability density function shows the probability of Merlin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merlin Properties SOCIMI has a beta of -0.1. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Merlin Properties are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Merlin Properties SOCIMI is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Merlin Properties SOCIMI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Merlin Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Merlin Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merlin Properties SOCIMI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7412.5115.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.8410.6113.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.3912.1614.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9612.5513.14
Details

Merlin Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merlin Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merlin Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merlin Properties SOCIMI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merlin Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Merlin Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merlin Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merlin Properties SOCIMI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Merlin Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Merlin Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Merlin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Merlin Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merlin Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.30
Float Shares426.34M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day25
Average Daily Volume In Three Month87
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.80%

Merlin Properties Fundamentals Growth

Merlin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Merlin Properties, and Merlin Properties fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Merlin Stock performance.

About Merlin Properties Performance

Assessing Merlin Properties' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Merlin Properties' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Merlin Properties is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, SA, one of the main real estate companies listed on the Spanish Stock Exchange , has as its main activity the acquisition and management of tertiary real estate assets in the Iberian Peninsula. The Company focuses on the office, retail and logistics market. MERLIN PROPERTIES operates under REITDiversified classification in Exotistan and is traded on Commodity Exchange. It employs 2 people.

Things to note about Merlin Properties SOCIMI performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Merlin Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Merlin Properties SOCIMI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Merlin Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Merlin Properties' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Merlin Properties' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Merlin Properties' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Merlin Properties' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Merlin Properties' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Merlin Properties' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Merlin Properties' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Merlin Properties' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Merlin Properties' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Merlin Properties' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Merlin Properties' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Merlin Stock Analysis

When running Merlin Properties' price analysis, check to measure Merlin Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merlin Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Merlin Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merlin Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merlin Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merlin Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.