Millrose Properties Stock Performance

MRP Stock   31.45  0.39  1.22%   
Millrose Properties has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.03, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Millrose Properties returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Millrose Properties is expected to follow. Millrose Properties right now secures a risk of 1.76%. Please verify Millrose Properties semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Millrose Properties will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Millrose Properties are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unsteady basic indicators, Millrose Properties may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.22)
Five Day Return
0.8
Year To Date Return
5.43
Ten Year Return
43.35
All Time Return
43.35
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0801
Payout Ratio
1.5
Forward Dividend Rate
2.55
Dividend Date
2026-01-15
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-05
1
Millrose Properties, Inc. MRP Shares Acquired by Russell Investments Group Ltd.
12/02/2025
2
Acquisition by Mincey Mary Alison of 6451 shares of Millrose Properties, subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
3
California Resources Corporation and Middle River Power to Advance Decarbonized Power Solutions in California
12/16/2025
4
Millrose Properties, Inc. to Issue Quarterly Dividend of 0.75
12/23/2025
5
Millrose Properties, Inc. Receives Consensus Rating of Buy from Brokerages - MarketBeat
12/26/2025
6
Millrose Properties, Inc. Receives Average Rating of Buy from Brokerages
12/31/2025
7
Why Millrose Properties stands out among 2025 spin-offs - MSN
01/07/2026
 
Millrose Properties dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
8
Millrose Properties, Inc. Receives Consensus Rating of Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
9
Millrose Properties Announces Tax Treatment of 2025 Dividends
01/26/2026
10
Is It Too Late To Consider Millrose Properties After 59 percent One-Year Rally
02/12/2026

Millrose Properties Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,876  in Millrose Properties on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  269.00  from holding Millrose Properties or generate 9.35% return on investment over 90 days. Millrose Properties is generating 0.1642% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7593% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Millrose, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Millrose Properties is expected to generate 2.27 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.27 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Millrose Properties Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Millrose Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 31.45 90 days 31.45 
about 7.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Millrose Properties to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.19 (This Millrose Properties probability density function shows the probability of Millrose Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This indicates Millrose Properties market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Millrose Properties is expected to follow. Additionally Millrose Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Millrose Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Millrose Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Millrose Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.6631.4233.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.3134.6936.45
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.1338.6042.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.780.79
Details

Millrose Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Millrose Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Millrose Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Millrose Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Millrose Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Millrose Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Millrose Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Millrose Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Millrose Properties has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Reported Net Loss for the year was (246.22 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 351 M.
Millrose Properties generates negative cash flow from operations
Millrose Properties has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of January 2026 Millrose Properties paid 0.75 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Too Late To Consider Millrose Properties After 59 percent One-Year Rally

Millrose Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Millrose Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Millrose Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Millrose Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding166 M
Cash And Short Term Investments100.00

Millrose Properties Fundamentals Growth

Millrose Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Millrose Properties, and Millrose Properties fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Millrose Stock performance.

About Millrose Properties Performance

Assessing Millrose Properties' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Millrose Properties' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Millrose Properties is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Capital Employed(0.05)(0.06)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Equity(0.05)(0.06)

Things to note about Millrose Properties performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Millrose Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Millrose Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Millrose Properties has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Reported Net Loss for the year was (246.22 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 351 M.
Millrose Properties generates negative cash flow from operations
Millrose Properties has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of January 2026 Millrose Properties paid 0.75 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Too Late To Consider Millrose Properties After 59 percent One-Year Rally
Evaluating Millrose Properties' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Millrose Properties' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Millrose Properties' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Millrose Properties' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Millrose Properties' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Millrose Properties' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Millrose Properties' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Millrose Properties' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Millrose Properties' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Millrose Properties' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Millrose Properties' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Millrose Stock Analysis

When running Millrose Properties' price analysis, check to measure Millrose Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Millrose Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Millrose Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Millrose Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Millrose Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Millrose Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.