Metalla Royalty Streaming Stock Performance

MTA Stock  CAD 9.20  0.07  0.77%   
Metalla Royalty's total-return profile spans short-term moves to multi-year compounding. Based on the 3 months horizon, Metalla Royalty shows an expected return of -0.29%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, Metalla Royalty Streaming produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. At small-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. Metalla Royalty has delivered negative risk-adjusted performance over recent months. The stock's forward-looking indicators have failed to convert volatility into returns, and latest sell-off adds further downside pressure for the company's market participants. Learn More
 Last Split Factor
1:4
 Dividend Date
2023-09-15
 Ex Dividend Date
2023-07-31
 Last Split Date
2019-12-17

Performance Related Modules

Earnings links to analyst estimate history and revisions, Ownership shows shareholder mix, Profitability focuses on margin and return ratios, Liquidity covers cash-flow strength and short-term funding capacity, and Fundamentals groups the broader financial ratio set.

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 1,160 in Metalla Royalty Streaming on January 27, 2026 and sold it today you would have lost C$ 240.00 from holding Metalla Royalty Streaming or given up 20.69% of portfolio value over 90 days. Metalla Royalty Streaming is currently producing negative expected returns and carries 3.9705% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Stated differently, Metalla is more volatile than roughly 65% of traded stocks, and MTA is outperformed by 99% of traded instruments in expected return over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Based on a 90-day horizon, MTA has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, MTA is 4.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.07%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.01% per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

A fundamental principle of stock forecasting is that prices tend to revert toward historical averages. This pattern serves as a foundation for forecasting, even though some stocks exhibit persistent deviations.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
9.20 90 days 9.20
about 87.7
According to our probability model, the chance of Metalla Royalty moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.7 . Based on past return behavior, the distribution of outcomes has been weighted above current levels over this period. (This distribution highlights the price region that has carried the highest probability weight for Metalla Stock over a 90-day horizon).
Based on a 90-day horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.32 . This indicates when the benchmark rises, MTA tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Metalla Royalty tends to underperform. Additionally, Metalla Royalty Streaming has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. MTA is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Metalla Royalty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Metalla Royalty

Forecasting Metalla Royalty Streaming involves applying various models to estimate future stock price behavior. Despite uncertainty, systematic forecasting provides investors with structured context for evaluating Metalla Royalty Streaming.
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Metalla Royalty's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. Positions sized too aggressively against the trend often suffer sustained losses before reversion occurs in Metalla Royalty.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
5.369.3313.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
4.278.2412.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.398.3612.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.010.03
Details
Metalla Royalty's financial and valuation profile is evaluated here relative to direct competitors. Metalla Royalty's multiples and operating metrics gain context when measured against direct competitors.

Primary Risk Indicators

Market volatility over the last 10-20 years has created both risk and opportunity across stock markets including Metalla Royalty. The pattern of corrections and recoveries in Metalla Royalty mirrors the broader stock market experience.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2378
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.0615

Investor Alerts and Insights

Real-time alerts for Metalla Royalty track important stock developments as they happen. Notifications for Metalla Royalty Streaming highlight significant technical and fundamental shifts that may signal emerging risks.
Metalla Royalty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Metalla Royalty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MTA reported revenue of 5.88 M. Net Loss for the year was -7.84 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.74 M.
Metalla Royalty Streaming has accumulated about 3.77 M in cash as of latest reporting with -2.57 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 25.0% of MTA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Metalla Time To Buy This Small Cap Growth Stock - Seeking Alpha

Metalla Royalty Fundamentals Growth

Investors assess Metalla Stock by examining Metalla Royalty's underlying financial health and growth trajectory. Core fundamentals including revenue growth, earnings quality, and debt management directly influence Metalla Stock.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Metalla Royalty measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Recovery duration matters as much as drawdown depth in the context of analysis of performance resilience. Metalla Royalty shows ROE of -1.68%, ROA of -0.01% (TTM) vs -1.68% (last reported).

Metalla Royalty Streaming metrics draw on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, standardized for cross-period comparison. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Raphi Shpitalnik, Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board