Match Group Stock Performance
| MTCH Stock | USD 31.38 0.09 0.29% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.12, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Match returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Match is expected to follow. At this point, Match Group has a negative expected return of -0.0691%. Please make sure to verify Match's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if Match Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Match Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong fundamental indicators, Match is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.29 | Five Day Return 2.31 | Year To Date Return (1.13) | Ten Year Return 194.92 | All Time Return 10 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0246 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3502:1000 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.77 | Dividend Date 2026-04-21 |
| Match dividend paid on 21st of January 2026 | 01/21/2026 |
1 | Acquisition by Dubey Sharmistha of tradable shares of Match subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/23/2026 |
2 | A Skadden veterans uneasy take on smarter machines | 01/26/2026 |
3 | Match Groups Q4 CY2025 Sales Beat Estimates, Stock Soars | 02/03/2026 |
4 | Match Group Q4 Earnings Call Highlights | 02/04/2026 |
5 | Assessing Match Group Valuation After Earnings Beat Dividend Hike And Buyback Completion | 02/12/2026 |
6 | What dating apps are really optimizing. Hint it isntlove | 02/13/2026 |
7 | Match Group Announces Manuel Bronstein and Raina Moskowitz to Join Board of Directors | 02/17/2026 |
8 | Assessing Match Group Valuation As User Metrics Weaken And Board Changes Continue | 02/19/2026 |
9 | Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board Reduces Holdings in Match Group Inc. MTCH | 02/20/2026 |
10 | Acquisition by Mcdaniel Ann of tradable shares of Match subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 966 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -46.8 M |
Match Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,312 in Match Group on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (174.00) from holding Match Group or give up 5.25% of portfolio value over 90 days. Match Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0456% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Match, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Match Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Match Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 31.38 | 90 days | 31.38 | about 72.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Match to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.07 (This Match Group probability density function shows the probability of Match Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Match Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Match
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Match Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Match's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Match Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Match is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Match's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Match Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Match within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Match Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Match for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Match Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Match Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Match Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 21st of January 2026 Match paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Wedbush Reiterates Neutral Rating for NiCE |
Match Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Match Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Match's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Match's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 262.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Match Fundamentals Growth
Match Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Match, and Match fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Match Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.5 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.18 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.33 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 11.45 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 236.07 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 96.07 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 10.97 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.17 X | ||||
| Revenue | 3.49 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.54 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 999.21 M | ||||
| Net Income | 613.46 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 472.93 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.67 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.97 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.04 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.28 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (1.09) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.08 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.38 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 7.55 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 4.46 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (5.97 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 848.3 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 204.69 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 353.64 M | ||||
About Match Performance
By evaluating Match's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Match's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Match has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Match has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 41.29 | 39.23 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.32 | 0.33 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.25 | 0.27 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.14 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Equity | (2.42) | (2.54) |
Things to note about Match Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Match for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Match Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Match Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Match Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 21st of January 2026 Match paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Wedbush Reiterates Neutral Rating for NiCE |
- Analyzing Match's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Match's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Match's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Match's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Match's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Match's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Match's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Match Stock analysis
When running Match's price analysis, check to measure Match's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Match is operating at the current time. Most of Match's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Match's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Match's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Match to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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