Matrix Service Co Stock Performance

MTRX Stock  USD 11.06  0.19  1.69%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.7, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Matrix Service will likely underperform. At this point, Matrix Service has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to verify Matrix Service's treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Matrix Service performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Matrix Service Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.69)
Five Day Return
(21.78)
Year To Date Return
(8.22)
Ten Year Return
(27.90)
All Time Return
172.41
Last Split Factor
2:1
Last Split Date
2003-11-24
1
Disposition of 8250 shares by Shawn Payne of Matrix Service at 12.5764 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/11/2025
2
Acquisition by Justin Sheets of 2429 shares of Matrix Service subject to Rule 16b-3
11/12/2025
3
Disposition of 3019 shares by Shawn Payne of Matrix Service at 11.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
4
Disposition of 5231 shares by Shawn Payne of Matrix Service at 11.421 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
5
Franklin Resources Inc. Has 1.82 Million Position in Matrix Service Company MTRX - MarketBeat
12/05/2025
6
Disposition of 2146 shares by Kevin Cavanah of Matrix Service at 15.13 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/09/2025
7
Q3 Earnings Highlights Matrix Service Vs The Rest Of The Construction and Maintenance Services Stocks - The Globe and Mail
12/11/2025
8
Disposition of 2162 shares by Justin Sheets of Matrix Service subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
9
Geopolitics Watch How Matrix Service Company stock trades during market volatility - July 2025 Snapshot Weekly High Return Stock Forecasts -
12/18/2025
10
3 of Wall Streets Favorite Stocks Walking a Fine Line
01/06/2026
11
Acquisition by Chandler John D of 2300 shares of Matrix Service at 12.7448 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
12
Will Matrix Service Company stock maintain growth story - July 2025 Review Real-Time Buy Signal Notifications - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
13
Disposition of 63418 shares by John Hewitt of Matrix Service at 15.13 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/12/2026
14
Matrix Service Company Sets Dates for Release of Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results and Conference Call
01/21/2026
15
What To Expect From Matrix Services Q4 Earnings
02/03/2026
16
Disposition of 3483 shares by Justin Sheets of Matrix Service at 15.13 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
17
Matrix Service Company Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow140.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.4 M

Matrix Service Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,302  in Matrix Service Co on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (196.00) from holding Matrix Service Co or give up 15.05% of portfolio value over 90 days. Matrix Service Co is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.169% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Matrix, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Matrix Service is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.87 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Matrix Service Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Matrix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.06 90 days 11.06 
about 89.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matrix Service to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.79 (This Matrix Service Co probability density function shows the probability of Matrix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Matrix Service will likely underperform. Additionally Matrix Service Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Matrix Service Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Matrix Service

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matrix Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.8010.9714.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7312.9016.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.009.1612.33
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.0216.5018.32
Details

Matrix Service Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matrix Service is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matrix Service's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matrix Service Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matrix Service within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.70
σ
Overall volatility
1.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Matrix Service Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matrix Service for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matrix Service can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Matrix Service generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Matrix Service has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Matrix Service is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 769.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.05 M.
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Matrix Service Company Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Matrix Service Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Matrix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Matrix Service's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Matrix Service's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments224.6 M

Matrix Service Fundamentals Growth

Matrix Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Matrix Service, and Matrix Service fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Matrix Stock performance.

About Matrix Service Performance

Evaluating Matrix Service's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Matrix Service has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Matrix Service has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 3.02  4.93 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.27  0.28 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.19 

Things to note about Matrix Service performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Matrix Service for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Matrix Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Matrix Service generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Matrix Service has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Matrix Service is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 769.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.05 M.
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Matrix Service Company Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Evaluating Matrix Service's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Matrix Service's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Matrix Service's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Matrix Service's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Matrix Service's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Matrix Service's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Matrix Service's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Matrix Service's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Matrix Service's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Matrix Service's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Matrix Service's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Matrix Stock Analysis

When running Matrix Service's price analysis, check to measure Matrix Service's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Matrix Service is operating at the current time. Most of Matrix Service's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Matrix Service's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Matrix Service's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Matrix Service to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.