Metavia Stock Performance

MTVA Stock   1.73  0.17  8.95%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.42, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MetaVia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MetaVia is likely to outperform the market. At this point, MetaVia has a negative expected return of -2.06%. Please make sure to verify MetaVia's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if MetaVia performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days MetaVia has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:11
Dividend Date
2019-12-31
Last Split Date
2025-12-05
1
MetaVia Presents Positive New Phase 2a Data on Vanoglipel in Patients with Presumed MASH at the AASLD The Liver Meeting 2025
11/07/2025
2
MetaVia Inc. Stock Jumps After Reverse Split What the New Price, Trial Data and 2026 Forecast Mean for Investors - ts2.tech
12/05/2025
3
MTVA New Date for Vanoglipel Presented at AASLD
12/11/2025
4
MTVA Stock HC Wainwright Co. Raises Price Target to 40.00 - GuruFocus
01/06/2026
5
MetaVia Announces the Pricing of 8.1 Million Underwritten Public Offering
01/15/2026
6
MetaVia Announces the Closing of 9.3 Million Underwritten Public Offering, Including Full Exercise of Allotment Option
01/16/2026
7
MTVA Positive Results for 48 mg Cohort in Phase 1b Trial of DA-1726
01/21/2026
8
Acquisition by Kim Hyung Heon of 32000 shares of MetaVia subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
9
Momentum Shift Can MetaVia Inc continue delivering strong returns - July 2025 Selloffs Weekly Watchlist for Hot Stocks - baoquankhu1.vn
01/26/2026
10
Acquisition by Tursi James Patrick of 28147 shares of MetaVia subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow22.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-8000.00

MetaVia Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  999.00  in MetaVia on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (809.00) from holding MetaVia or give up 80.98% of portfolio value over 90 days. MetaVia is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 11.3304% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than MetaVia, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MetaVia is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 15.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.18 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

MetaVia Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MetaVia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.73 90 days 1.73 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MetaVia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This MetaVia probability density function shows the probability of MetaVia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MetaVia has a beta of -0.42. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MetaVia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MetaVia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MetaVia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MetaVia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MetaVia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MetaVia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MetaVia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.5812.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.7124.1635.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.1514.48
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
82.8191.00101.01
Details

MetaVia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MetaVia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MetaVia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MetaVia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MetaVia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.95
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.42
σ
Overall volatility
2.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

MetaVia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MetaVia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MetaVia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MetaVia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MetaVia has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MetaVia may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (27.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
MetaVia generates negative cash flow from operations
MetaVia has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Momentum Shift Can MetaVia Inc continue delivering strong returns - July 2025 Selloffs Weekly Watchlist for Hot Stocks - baoquankhu1.vn

MetaVia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MetaVia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MetaVia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MetaVia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding705.2 K
Cash And Short Term Investments16 M

MetaVia Fundamentals Growth

MetaVia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MetaVia, and MetaVia fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MetaVia Stock performance.

About MetaVia Performance

By analyzing MetaVia's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MetaVia's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MetaVia has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MetaVia has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.53)(1.60)
Return On Capital Employed(4.15)(3.94)
Return On Assets(1.53)(1.60)
Return On Equity(4.00)(3.80)

Things to note about MetaVia performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MetaVia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MetaVia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MetaVia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MetaVia has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MetaVia may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (27.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
MetaVia generates negative cash flow from operations
MetaVia has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Momentum Shift Can MetaVia Inc continue delivering strong returns - July 2025 Selloffs Weekly Watchlist for Hot Stocks - baoquankhu1.vn
Evaluating MetaVia's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MetaVia's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing MetaVia's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MetaVia's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MetaVia's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MetaVia's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MetaVia's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MetaVia's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MetaVia's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MetaVia's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MetaVia's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for MetaVia Stock analysis

When running MetaVia's price analysis, check to measure MetaVia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MetaVia is operating at the current time. Most of MetaVia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MetaVia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MetaVia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MetaVia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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