Metavia Stock Performance
| MTVA Stock | 1.51 0.08 5.03% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.21, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MetaVia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MetaVia is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, MetaVia has a negative expected return of -2.1%. Please make sure to verify MetaVia's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if MetaVia performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days MetaVia has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Last Split Factor 1:11 | Dividend Date 2019-12-31 | Last Split Date 2025-12-05 |
1 | What risks investors should watch in MetaVia Inc. stock - Price Action Verified Momentum Watchlists - | 12/18/2025 |
2 | MetaVia Regains Compliance with Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Requirement | 12/22/2025 |
3 | MetaVia to Participate in and Sponsor the 10th Annual MASH-TAG 2026 Conference | 12/29/2025 |
4 | MetaVia Compelling Dual-Mechanism ObesityMASH Profile and De-Risked Pipeline Support Buy Rating Ahead of Pivotal 2026 - TipRanks | 01/07/2026 |
5 | MetaVia Announces the Pricing of 8.1 Million Underwritten Public Offering | 01/15/2026 |
6 | MetaVia Announces the Closing of 9.3 Million Underwritten Public Offering, Including Full Exercise of Allotment Option | 01/16/2026 |
7 | MTVA Stock Price, Forecast Analysis METAVIA INC - Chartmill | 01/22/2026 |
8 | Acquisition by Kim Hyung Heon of 32000 shares of MetaVia subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/23/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by Tursi James Patrick of 28147 shares of MetaVia subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/27/2026 |
10 | Will MetaVia Inc. stock go up in YEAR - 2025 Investor Takeaways Weekly Watchlist for Consistent Profits - mfd.ru | 02/12/2026 |
11 | Presenting on Emerging Growth Conference 90 Day 1 on February 25 Register to live stream | 02/24/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 22.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -8000.00 |
MetaVia Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 826.00 in MetaVia on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (675.00) from holding MetaVia or give up 81.72% of portfolio value over 90 days. MetaVia is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 10.6996% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 96% of stocks are less volatile than MetaVia, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
MetaVia Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of MetaVia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.51 | 90 days | 1.51 | about 88.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MetaVia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.96 (This MetaVia probability density function shows the probability of MetaVia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
MetaVia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MetaVia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MetaVia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MetaVia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MetaVia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MetaVia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MetaVia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MetaVia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MetaVia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.87 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
MetaVia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MetaVia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MetaVia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MetaVia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MetaVia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MetaVia may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (27.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| MetaVia generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| MetaVia has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Presenting on Emerging Growth Conference 90 Day 1 on February 25 Register to live stream |
MetaVia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MetaVia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MetaVia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MetaVia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 705.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16 M |
MetaVia Fundamentals Growth
MetaVia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MetaVia, and MetaVia fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MetaVia Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.68 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.58 | ||||
| Current Valuation | (9.11 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 3.32 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.80 X | ||||
| EBITDA | (28.79 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (27.59 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 136 K | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.88 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (24.71 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (10.45) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.01 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 16.26 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (135.86 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 7.8 M | ||||
About MetaVia Performance
By analyzing MetaVia's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MetaVia's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MetaVia has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MetaVia has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (1.53) | (1.60) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (4.15) | (3.94) | |
| Return On Assets | (1.53) | (1.60) | |
| Return On Equity | (4.00) | (3.80) |
Things to note about MetaVia performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about MetaVia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MetaVia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MetaVia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MetaVia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MetaVia may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (27.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| MetaVia generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| MetaVia has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Presenting on Emerging Growth Conference 90 Day 1 on February 25 Register to live stream |
- Analyzing MetaVia's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MetaVia's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining MetaVia's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating MetaVia's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MetaVia's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MetaVia's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MetaVia's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for MetaVia Stock analysis
When running MetaVia's price analysis, check to measure MetaVia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MetaVia is operating at the current time. Most of MetaVia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MetaVia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MetaVia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MetaVia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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