Metrovacesa (Spain) Performance

MVC Stock  EUR 9.62  0.12  1.23%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.23, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Metrovacesa's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Metrovacesa is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Metrovacesa SA has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to verify Metrovacesa's daily balance of power, price action indicator, and the relationship between the kurtosis and day median price , to decide if Metrovacesa SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Metrovacesa SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow334 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.8 M
  

Metrovacesa Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,055  in Metrovacesa SA on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (93.00) from holding Metrovacesa SA or give up 8.82% of portfolio value over 90 days. Metrovacesa SA is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.8266% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 16% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Metrovacesa, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metrovacesa is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.46 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Metrovacesa Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Metrovacesa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.62 90 days 9.62 
about 79.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metrovacesa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.77 (This Metrovacesa SA probability density function shows the probability of Metrovacesa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metrovacesa has a beta of 0.23. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Metrovacesa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Metrovacesa SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Metrovacesa SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Metrovacesa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Metrovacesa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metrovacesa SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.799.6211.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.859.6811.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.649.4711.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.959.5910.23
Details

Metrovacesa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metrovacesa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metrovacesa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metrovacesa SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metrovacesa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Metrovacesa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metrovacesa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metrovacesa SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metrovacesa SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Metrovacesa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metrovacesa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metrovacesa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metrovacesa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding151.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments322 M

Metrovacesa Fundamentals Growth

Metrovacesa Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Metrovacesa, and Metrovacesa fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Metrovacesa Stock performance.

About Metrovacesa Performance

By analyzing Metrovacesa's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Metrovacesa's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Metrovacesa has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Metrovacesa has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Metrovacesa S.A. operates as a real estate development company in Spain. The company was incorporated in 1935 and is based in Madrid, Spain. METROVACESA operates under Real Estate - General classification in Spain and is traded on Madrid SE C.A.T.S.. It employs 1 people.

Things to note about Metrovacesa SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Metrovacesa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Metrovacesa SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metrovacesa SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Metrovacesa's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Metrovacesa's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Metrovacesa's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Metrovacesa's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Metrovacesa's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Metrovacesa's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Metrovacesa's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Metrovacesa's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Metrovacesa's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Metrovacesa's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Metrovacesa's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Metrovacesa's price analysis, check to measure Metrovacesa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metrovacesa is operating at the current time. Most of Metrovacesa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metrovacesa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metrovacesa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metrovacesa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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