CME (Germany) Performance

MX4A Stock  EUR 255.35  0.10  0.04%   
CME has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.099, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CME are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CME is likely to outperform the market. CME Group at this time shows a risk of 1.05%. Please confirm CME Group downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if CME Group will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CME Group are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, CME may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0171
Payout Ratio
0.448
Forward Dividend Rate
4.37
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-10
1
Is CME Group Still Attractive After Its Strong Multi Year Share Price Rally - simplywall.st
12/11/2025
2
CME Group director Shepard buys shares worth 73,008 - Investing.com
01/02/2026
3
Big Short Investor Danny Moses Ignore Prediction Markets At Your Own Risk - CME Group - Benzinga
01/09/2026
4
Morgan Stanley Adjusts Price Target for CME Group to 319 CME Stock News - GuruFocus
01/15/2026
5
CME Group earnings on deck Can pricing offset volume worries - Investing.com
02/03/2026
6
CME Group Links Record Results With Tokenized Finance And Crypto Push - simplywall.st
02/06/2026
7
Tim McCourt - The TRADE
02/11/2026
  

CME Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  23,511  in CME Group on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,024  from holding CME Group or generate 8.61% return on investment over 90 days. CME Group is generating 0.1432% of daily returns assuming 1.0549% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 9% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than CME, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CME is expected to generate 1.39 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

CME Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CME Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 255.35 90 days 255.35 
about 1.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CME to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.9 (This CME Group probability density function shows the probability of CME Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CME Group has a beta of -0.099. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CME are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CME Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CME Group has an alpha of 0.1058, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CME Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CME

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CME Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
254.19255.24256.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
220.17221.22280.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CME. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CME's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CME's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CME Group.

CME Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CME is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CME's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CME Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CME within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
8.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

CME Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CME for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CME Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tim McCourt - The TRADE

CME Fundamentals Growth

CME Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CME, and CME fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CME Stock performance.

About CME Performance

By analyzing CME's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CME's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CME has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CME has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
CME Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. CME Group Inc. was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. CME GROUP operates under Financial Exchanges classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 4590 people.

Things to note about CME Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CME for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CME Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tim McCourt - The TRADE
Evaluating CME's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CME's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CME's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CME's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CME's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CME's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CME's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CME's stock. These opinions can provide insight into CME's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CME's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CME's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for CME Stock analysis

When running CME's price analysis, check to measure CME's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CME is operating at the current time. Most of CME's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CME's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CME's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CME to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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