Nio (Germany) Performance

N3IA Stock  EUR 4.06  0.29  6.67%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.12, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Nio's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nio is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Nio Class A has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to verify Nio's value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Nio Class A performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Nio Class A has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
1
Barclays Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for NIO Stock - MarketBeat
11/28/2025
2
Macquarie downgrades NIO on weak ONVO demand and policy risks - MSN
12/04/2025
3
NIO Stock Price Up 1.5 percent - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
12/08/2025
4
Nio, Profusa, Nike, FTAI Aviation And Under Armour Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors Radars Today - Benzinga
12/30/2025
5
NIO Trading Down 5.2 percent - Should You Sell - MarketBeat
01/05/2026
6
Macquarie upgrades NIO stock rating to Outperform on strong sales - Investing.com
01/15/2026
7
Stock Market Today, Jan. 29 Nio Advances as Autonomous EV Focus Lifts Shares - The Motley Fool
01/29/2026
  

Nio Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  526.00  in Nio Class A on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (120.00) from holding Nio Class A or give up 22.81% of portfolio value over 90 days. Nio Class A is producing return of less than zero assuming 3.7888% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 34% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Nio, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nio is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.87 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Nio Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Nio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.06 90 days 4.06 
about 74.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.75 (This Nio Class A probability density function shows the probability of Nio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nio has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nio Class A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nio Class A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nio Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.344.178.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.727.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nio Class A.

Nio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nio Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.64
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Nio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nio Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nio Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nio Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nio Class A has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 65.73 B. Net Loss for the year was (22.66 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.18 B.
Nio Class A has accumulated about 46.85 B in cash with (7.85 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 29.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock Market Today, Jan. 29 Nio Advances as Autonomous EV Focus Lifts Shares - The Motley Fool

Nio Fundamentals Growth

Nio Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nio, and Nio fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nio Stock performance.

About Nio Performance

By analyzing Nio's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Nio's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Nio has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Nio has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 50.22  53.39 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Capital Employed(0.43)(0.46)
Return On Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Equity(4.37)(4.15)

Things to note about Nio Class A performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nio Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nio Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nio Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nio Class A has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 65.73 B. Net Loss for the year was (22.66 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.18 B.
Nio Class A has accumulated about 46.85 B in cash with (7.85 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 29.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock Market Today, Jan. 29 Nio Advances as Autonomous EV Focus Lifts Shares - The Motley Fool
Evaluating Nio's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nio's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Nio's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nio's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nio's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nio's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nio's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nio's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nio's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nio's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nio's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Nio Stock analysis

When running Nio's price analysis, check to measure Nio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nio is operating at the current time. Most of Nio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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