Nelly Group (Sweden) Performance
| NELLY Stock | SEK 68.60 8.30 10.79% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.2, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Nelly Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Nelly Group is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Nelly Group AB has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to verify Nelly Group's information ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Nelly Group AB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Nelly Group AB has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 230.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -22.9 M |
Nelly |
Nelly Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 9,070 in Nelly Group AB on November 14, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,210) from holding Nelly Group AB or give up 24.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. Nelly Group AB is generating negative expected returns and assumes 6.0278% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 54% of stocks are less volatile than Nelly, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Nelly Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Nelly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 68.60 | 90 days | 68.60 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nelly Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nelly Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Nelly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Nelly Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nelly Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nelly Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nelly Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nelly Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nelly Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nelly Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nelly Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nelly Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Nelly Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nelly Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nelly Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nelly Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nelly Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.43 B. Net Loss for the year was (47.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 566.3 M. | |
| About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Nelly Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nelly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nelly Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nelly Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 197.5 M |
Nelly Group Fundamentals Growth
Nelly Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nelly Group, and Nelly Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nelly Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.42 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0403 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 444.03 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 18.03 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 0.82 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.09 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.12 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.43 B | |||
| EBITDA | (30.9 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 140.5 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 7.79 X | |||
| Total Debt | 231.3 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.09 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 7.41 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 18.8 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (3.26) X | |||
| Total Asset | 899.9 M | |||
About Nelly Group Performance
Assessing Nelly Group's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Nelly Group's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Nelly Group is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Nelly Group AB operates as a fashion company in Sweden, rest of Nordics, Germany, and the Netherlands. Nelly Group AB was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Bors, Sweden. Nelly Group is traded on Stockholm Stock Exchange in Sweden.Things to note about Nelly Group AB performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nelly Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nelly Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nelly Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nelly Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.43 B. Net Loss for the year was (47.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 566.3 M. | |
| About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
- Analyzing Nelly Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nelly Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Nelly Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Nelly Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nelly Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nelly Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nelly Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Nelly Stock Analysis
When running Nelly Group's price analysis, check to measure Nelly Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nelly Group is operating at the current time. Most of Nelly Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nelly Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nelly Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nelly Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.