Nephros Stock Performance
| NEPH Stock | USD 4.48 0.20 4.27% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.25, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Nephros are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Nephros is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Nephros has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to verify Nephros' maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to decide if Nephros performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Nephros has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.43 | Five Day Return (5.26) | Year To Date Return (1.47) | Ten Year Return 48.57 | All Time Return (99.56) |
Last Split Factor 1:9 | Dividend Date 2019-07-10 | Last Split Date 2019-07-10 |
1 | Could The Market Be Wrong About Nephros, Inc. Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects | 11/13/2025 |
2 | Is Nephros Inc. stock a buy before earnings results - Portfolio Return Summary Risk Adjusted Buy and Sell Alerts - newser.com | 11/20/2025 |
3 | Nephros enters license and supply agreement with Medica S.p.A. - SEC filing - MarketScreener | 11/26/2025 |
4 | Income Plays Will Nephros Inc stock sustain high P E ratios - Market Risk Summary Fast Entry and Exit Trade Plans - B NI V | 12/02/2025 |
5 | 3 Promising Penny Stocks With Market Caps Up To 400M | 01/21/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 4.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -50 K |
Nephros Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 574.00 in Nephros on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (106.00) from holding Nephros or give up 18.47% of portfolio value over 90 days. Nephros is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.4471% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 57% of stocks are less volatile than Nephros, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Nephros Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Nephros Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.48 | 90 days | 4.48 | about 91.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nephros to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.29 (This Nephros probability density function shows the probability of Nephros Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nephros has a beta of -0.25. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nephros are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nephros is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nephros has an alpha of 0.0301, implying that it can generate a 0.0301 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nephros Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nephros
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nephros. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nephros Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nephros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nephros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nephros, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nephros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0087 |
Nephros Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nephros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nephros can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nephros generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nephros has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Nephros is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Nephros currently holds about 4.18 M in cash with (492 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41. | |
| Nephros has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: 3 Promising Penny Stocks With Market Caps Up To 400M |
Nephros Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nephros Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nephros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nephros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |
Nephros Fundamentals Growth
Nephros Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nephros, and Nephros fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nephros Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0764 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 45.72 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 10.63 M | |||
| Price To Earning | (4.51) X | |||
| Price To Book | 4.97 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 2.77 X | |||
| Revenue | 14.16 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 11.34 M | |||
| EBITDA | 227 K | |||
| Net Income | 74 K | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.18 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.41 X | |||
| Total Debt | 1.41 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.07 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 5.27 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.94 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (492 K) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.14 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 49.73 M | |||
| Total Asset | 11.21 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (144.33 M) | |||
| Working Capital | 6.74 M | |||
| Current Asset | 1.53 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 684 K | |||
About Nephros Performance
By evaluating Nephros' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Nephros' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Nephros has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Nephros has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 201.81 | 305.50 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.01 | 0.01 |
Things to note about Nephros performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nephros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nephros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nephros generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nephros has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Nephros is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Nephros currently holds about 4.18 M in cash with (492 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41. | |
| Nephros has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: 3 Promising Penny Stocks With Market Caps Up To 400M |
- Analyzing Nephros' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nephros' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Nephros' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Nephros' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nephros' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nephros' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nephros' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Nephros Stock analysis
When running Nephros' price analysis, check to measure Nephros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nephros is operating at the current time. Most of Nephros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nephros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nephros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nephros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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