Netflix (Germany) Performance

NFC Stock  EUR 66.32  1.32  2.03%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.06, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Netflix are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Netflix is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Netflix has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to verify Netflix's value at risk, skewness, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if Netflix performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Netflix has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Last Split Factor
10:1
Last Split Date
2025-11-17
1
Could Netflix Throw More Cash Into Its Warner Bros. Deal Investors Are Wondering - Investopedia
01/14/2026
2
Netflix Earnings Good or Bad - Zacks Investment Research
01/21/2026
3
Netflix Stock Is Living a Nightmare. Why It Just Got Upgraded. - Barrons
01/26/2026
4
Netflixs 82.7b Warner Bros. Bid Tests Valuation, Growth And Deal Risks - Yahoo Finance
01/29/2026
5
Numbers Game Netflix Stock Notches Up Despite Unanswered Questions About Warner Merger - TipRanks
02/04/2026
6
Is Netflix Stock Your Ticket to Becoming a Millionaire - Yahoo Finance
02/10/2026
7
Analysts See 55 percent Upside for Netflix Despite 77 Share Price - 247 Wall St.
02/13/2026
8
Netflix grants WBD waiver to reopen deal talks with Paramount, Sarandos says let them make a move - CNBC
02/17/2026
9
Billionaire Philippe Laffont Sells Nvidia Stock and Buys a Stock-Split Stock Up 20,000 percent in 20 Years - The Motley Fool
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow7.8 B
Free Cash Flow9.5 B
  

Netflix Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,967  in Netflix on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,335) from holding Netflix or give up 26.04% of portfolio value over 90 days. Netflix is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.7419% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 15% of traded stocks are less volatile than Netflix, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Netflix is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.28 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Netflix Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Netflix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 66.32 90 days 66.32 
about 89.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Netflix to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.56 (This Netflix probability density function shows the probability of Netflix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Netflix has a beta of -0.06. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Netflix are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Netflix is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Netflix has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Netflix Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Netflix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netflix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.5566.2968.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.0960.8372.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.9568.6970.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.5665.8197.06
Details

Netflix Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Netflix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Netflix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Netflix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Netflix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
9.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.36

Netflix Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Netflix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Netflix can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netflix generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Netflix is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Billionaire Philippe Laffont Sells Nvidia Stock and Buys a Stock-Split Stock Up 20,000 percent in 20 Years - The Motley Fool

Netflix Fundamentals Growth

Netflix Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Netflix, and Netflix fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Netflix Stock performance.

About Netflix Performance

By analyzing Netflix's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Netflix's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Netflix has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Netflix has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
It offers TV series, documentaries, and feature films across various genres and languages. Netflix, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California. NETFLIX INC operates under Entertainment classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 9400 people.

Things to note about Netflix performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Netflix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Netflix help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netflix generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Netflix is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Billionaire Philippe Laffont Sells Nvidia Stock and Buys a Stock-Split Stock Up 20,000 percent in 20 Years - The Motley Fool
Evaluating Netflix's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Netflix's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Netflix's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Netflix's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Netflix's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Netflix's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Netflix's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Netflix's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Netflix's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Netflix's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Netflix's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Netflix Stock analysis

When running Netflix's price analysis, check to measure Netflix's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Netflix is operating at the current time. Most of Netflix's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Netflix's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Netflix's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Netflix to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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