Nfi Group Stock Performance

NFI Stock  CAD 17.88  0.65  3.77%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, NFI holds a performance score of 16. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0408, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NFI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NFI is likely to outperform the market. Please check NFI's jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether NFI's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NFI Group are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating forward indicators, NFI displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:10
Dividend Date
2022-10-17
Ex Dividend Date
2022-09-28
Last Split Date
2011-10-05
1
Can NFI Group Inc. stock deliver double digit returns - New Guidance AI Powered Market Trend Analysis - Newser
12/02/2025
2
NFI Group Inc Shares Climb Amid Settlement News - TipRanks
12/16/2025
3
Stocks in play NFI Group Inc. - The Globe and Mail
12/19/2025
4
NFI Groups Volatile Recovery Can New Flyers Bus Maker Turn A Rebound Into A Sustainable Rally - AD HOC NEWS
01/08/2026
5
NFI Group Stock Electric Bus Champion Tests Investors Nerves After Sharp Pullback - AD HOC NEWS
01/20/2026
6
New Jersey adds 375 clean-diesel buses to refresh aging fleet - Stock Titan
01/29/2026
7
Southern Nevada transit adds 50 low-emission buses in 56M upgrade - stocktitan.net
02/05/2026
8
New Flyer receives order for 100 additional transit buses for the Washington Metro Region - markets.businessinsider.com
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow49.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-34.6 M
  

NFI Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,322  in NFI Group on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  466.00  from holding NFI Group or generate 35.25% return on investment over 90 days. NFI Group is generating 0.5252% of daily returns assuming 2.4735% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 22% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than NFI, and 90% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NFI is expected to generate 3.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

NFI Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NFI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.88 90 days 17.88 
about 5.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NFI to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.82 (This NFI Group probability density function shows the probability of NFI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NFI Group has a beta of -0.0408. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NFI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NFI Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NFI Group has an alpha of 0.4536, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NFI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NFI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NFI Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6118.0820.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3814.8519.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.110.290.15
Details

NFI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NFI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NFI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NFI Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NFI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

NFI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NFI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NFI Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 3.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 188.14 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: New Flyer receives order for 100 additional transit buses for the Washington Metro Region - markets.businessinsider.com

NFI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NFI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NFI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NFI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding110 M
Cash And Short Term Investments49.6 M

NFI Fundamentals Growth

NFI Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NFI, and NFI fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NFI Stock performance.

About NFI Performance

By examining NFI's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into NFI's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that NFI is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 113.69  64.34 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.07 
Return On Equity(0.01)(0.01)

Things to note about NFI Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NFI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NFI Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 3.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 188.14 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: New Flyer receives order for 100 additional transit buses for the Washington Metro Region - markets.businessinsider.com
Evaluating NFI's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NFI's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing NFI's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NFI's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NFI's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NFI's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NFI's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NFI's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NFI's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NFI's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NFI's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in NFI Stock

NFI financial ratios help investors to determine whether NFI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NFI with respect to the benefits of owning NFI security.