New Hope Stock Performance

NHPEF Stock  USD 3.35  0.16  5.02%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, New HopeLtd holds a performance score of 13. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.28, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning New HopeLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, New HopeLtd is likely to outperform the market. Please check New HopeLtd's value at risk, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether New HopeLtd's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in New Hope are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, New HopeLtd reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow424.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-222.5 M
Free Cash Flow1.1 B
  

New HopeLtd Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  261.00  in New Hope on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  74.00  from holding New Hope or generate 28.35% return on investment over 90 days. New Hope is currently producing 0.4517% returns and takes up 2.6996% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 24% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than New, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon New HopeLtd is expected to generate 3.62 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

New HopeLtd Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of New Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.35 90 days 3.35 
about 6.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New HopeLtd to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.04 (This New Hope probability density function shows the probability of New Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon New Hope has a beta of -0.28. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding New HopeLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, New Hope is likely to outperform the market. Additionally New Hope has an alpha of 0.3426, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   New HopeLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for New HopeLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New HopeLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New HopeLtd's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.633.356.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.675.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.453.185.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.163.354.55
Details

New HopeLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New HopeLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New HopeLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Hope, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New HopeLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

New HopeLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New HopeLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New HopeLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding832.4 M
Dividends Paid308 M
Short Long Term Debt2.5 M

New HopeLtd Fundamentals Growth

New Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of New HopeLtd, and New HopeLtd fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on New Pink Sheet performance.

About New HopeLtd Performance

By analyzing New HopeLtd's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into New HopeLtd's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if New HopeLtd has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if New HopeLtd has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
New Hope Corporation Limited explores for, develops, produces, and processes coal, and oil and gas properties. New Hope Corporation Limited was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia. New Hope operates under Thermal Coal classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about New HopeLtd performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about New HopeLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for New HopeLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating New HopeLtd's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate New HopeLtd's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing New HopeLtd's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether New HopeLtd's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining New HopeLtd's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating New HopeLtd's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of New HopeLtd's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of New HopeLtd's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into New HopeLtd's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating New HopeLtd's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact New HopeLtd's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running New HopeLtd's price analysis, check to measure New HopeLtd's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New HopeLtd is operating at the current time. Most of New HopeLtd's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New HopeLtd's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New HopeLtd's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New HopeLtd to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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