Nio Inc Stock Performance

NIOIF Stock   4.76  0.01  0.21%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.51, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, NIO's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NIO is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, NIO Inc has a negative expected return of -0.58%. Please make sure to verify NIO's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if NIO Inc performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days NIO Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow38.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-39.8 B
  

NIO Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  695.00  in NIO Inc on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (219.00) from holding NIO Inc or give up 31.51% of portfolio value over 90 days. NIO Inc is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.3457% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 21% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than NIO, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon NIO is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.16 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.25 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

NIO Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NIO Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.76 90 days 4.76 
about 85.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NIO to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.31 (This NIO Inc probability density function shows the probability of NIO Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NIO has a beta of 0.51. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NIO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NIO Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NIO Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NIO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NIO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIO Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.414.767.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.074.426.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.504.857.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.385.005.62
Details

NIO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NIO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NIO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NIO Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NIO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

NIO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NIO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NIO Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NIO Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NIO Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 36.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.57 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.82 B.

NIO Fundamentals Growth

NIO Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NIO, and NIO fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NIO Pink Sheet performance.

About NIO Performance

By analyzing NIO's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into NIO's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if NIO has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if NIO has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about NIO Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NIO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for NIO Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NIO Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NIO Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 36.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.57 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.82 B.
Evaluating NIO's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NIO's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing NIO's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NIO's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NIO's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NIO's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NIO's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NIO's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into NIO's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NIO's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NIO's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for NIO Pink Sheet analysis

When running NIO's price analysis, check to measure NIO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NIO is operating at the current time. Most of NIO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NIO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NIO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NIO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios