Nongfu Spring Co Stock Performance

NNFSF Stock  USD 6.40  0.00  0.00%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0956, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Nongfu Spring are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Nongfu Spring is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Nongfu Spring has a negative expected return of -0.0818%. Please make sure to verify Nongfu Spring's information ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Nongfu Spring performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Nongfu Spring Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Nongfu Spring is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow6.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.3 B
  

Nongfu Spring Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  675.00  in Nongfu Spring Co on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (35.00) from holding Nongfu Spring Co or give up 5.19% of portfolio value over 90 days. Nongfu Spring Co is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.5209% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Nongfu, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nongfu Spring is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.42 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Nongfu Spring Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Nongfu Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.40 90 days 6.40 
about 69.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nongfu Spring to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.88 (This Nongfu Spring Co probability density function shows the probability of Nongfu Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nongfu Spring Co has a beta of -0.0956. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nongfu Spring are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nongfu Spring Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nongfu Spring Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nongfu Spring Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nongfu Spring

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nongfu Spring. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nongfu Spring's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.886.406.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.976.497.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.866.386.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.406.406.40
Details

Nongfu Spring Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nongfu Spring is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nongfu Spring's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nongfu Spring Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nongfu Spring within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Nongfu Spring Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nongfu Spring for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nongfu Spring can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nongfu Spring generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nongfu Spring Fundamentals Growth

Nongfu Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nongfu Spring, and Nongfu Spring fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nongfu Pink Sheet performance.

About Nongfu Spring Performance

By analyzing Nongfu Spring's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Nongfu Spring's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Nongfu Spring has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Nongfu Spring has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Nongfu Spring Co., Ltd. produces and markets packaged drinking water and beverage products primarily in Mainland China. Nongfu Spring Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Yangshengtang Co., Ltd. Nongfu Spring operates under BeveragesNon-Alcoholic classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 20000 people.

Things to note about Nongfu Spring performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nongfu Spring for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Nongfu Spring help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nongfu Spring generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Nongfu Spring's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nongfu Spring's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Nongfu Spring's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nongfu Spring's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nongfu Spring's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nongfu Spring's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nongfu Spring's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nongfu Spring's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Nongfu Spring's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nongfu Spring's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nongfu Spring's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Nongfu Pink Sheet analysis

When running Nongfu Spring's price analysis, check to measure Nongfu Spring's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nongfu Spring is operating at the current time. Most of Nongfu Spring's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nongfu Spring's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nongfu Spring's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nongfu Spring to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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