Fiscalnote Holdings Stock Performance

NOTE Stock  USD 1.20  0.11  8.40%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.15, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, FiscalNote Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, FiscalNote Holdings has a negative expected return of -1.84%. Please make sure to confirm FiscalNote Holdings' maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and price action indicator , to decide if FiscalNote Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days FiscalNote Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:12
Last Split Date
2025-09-02
1
Disposition of 9782 shares by Hwang Tim of FiscalNote Holdings at 0.78 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/10/2025
2
Acquisition by Nilsson Keith of 3424 shares of FiscalNote Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
3
Disposition of 277 shares by Resnik Josh of FiscalNote Holdings at 2.19 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/02/2025
4
FiscalNote Unveils New Breakthrough in PolicyNote AI-Powered, Personalized Impact Summaries
12/03/2025
5
FiscalNote to Participate at Upcoming Investor Conference
12/09/2025
6
Ladenburg Thalmann Initiates FiscalNote Holdings With Buy Rating, Announces Target Price 11 -
12/19/2025
7
Why FiscalNote Holdings Inc. stock stays resilient - July 2025 Spike Watch Comprehensive Market Scan Insights - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
8
Infinix NOTE 50 Pro, GT 30 Pro and HOT 60 Pro Win 2025 European Product Design Awards
01/13/2026
9
Disposition of 8331 shares by Todd Aman of FiscalNote Holdings at 1.59 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
10
Disposition of 317 shares by Todd Aman of FiscalNote Holdings at 1.57 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
11
IM Cannabis Raises US2,171,660.40 in Note Purchase Agreements
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow17.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities89.2 M

FiscalNote Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  401.00  in FiscalNote Holdings on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (281.00) from holding FiscalNote Holdings or give up 70.07% of portfolio value over 90 days. FiscalNote Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.807% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 43% of stocks are less volatile than FiscalNote, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FiscalNote Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.38 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

FiscalNote Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of FiscalNote Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.20 90 days 1.20 
about 88.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FiscalNote Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.35 (This FiscalNote Holdings probability density function shows the probability of FiscalNote Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.15 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FiscalNote Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally FiscalNote Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FiscalNote Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FiscalNote Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FiscalNote Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FiscalNote Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.406.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.895.7010.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.925.73
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.5219.2521.37
Details

FiscalNote Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FiscalNote Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FiscalNote Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FiscalNote Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FiscalNote Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.82
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

FiscalNote Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FiscalNote Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FiscalNote Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FiscalNote Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FiscalNote Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
FiscalNote Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FiscalNote Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
FiscalNote Holdings currently holds 172.95 M in liabilities. FiscalNote Holdings has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about FiscalNote Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
FiscalNote Holdings currently holds about 27.16 M in cash with (5.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.73, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
FiscalNote Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: IM Cannabis Raises US2,171,660.40 in Note Purchase Agreements

FiscalNote Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FiscalNote Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FiscalNote Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FiscalNote Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments34.6 M

FiscalNote Holdings Fundamentals Growth

FiscalNote Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FiscalNote Holdings, and FiscalNote Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FiscalNote Stock performance.

About FiscalNote Holdings Performance

By analyzing FiscalNote Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into FiscalNote Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if FiscalNote Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if FiscalNote Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed(0.13)(0.14)
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.09 

Things to note about FiscalNote Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about FiscalNote Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for FiscalNote Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FiscalNote Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FiscalNote Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
FiscalNote Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FiscalNote Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
FiscalNote Holdings currently holds 172.95 M in liabilities. FiscalNote Holdings has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about FiscalNote Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
FiscalNote Holdings currently holds about 27.16 M in cash with (5.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.73, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
FiscalNote Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: IM Cannabis Raises US2,171,660.40 in Note Purchase Agreements
Evaluating FiscalNote Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate FiscalNote Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing FiscalNote Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FiscalNote Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining FiscalNote Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating FiscalNote Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FiscalNote Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FiscalNote Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into FiscalNote Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating FiscalNote Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact FiscalNote Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running FiscalNote Holdings' price analysis, check to measure FiscalNote Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FiscalNote Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of FiscalNote Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FiscalNote Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FiscalNote Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FiscalNote Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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