Nextsource Materials Stock Performance

NSRCF Stock  USD 0.27  0.02  6.90%   
NextSource Materials has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.66, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, NextSource Materials will likely underperform. NextSource Materials right now secures a risk of 6.4%. Please verify NextSource Materials standard deviation and the relationship between the total risk alpha and price action indicator , to decide if NextSource Materials will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NextSource Materials are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile fundamental indicators, NextSource Materials may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow22.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-13.1 M
  

NextSource Materials Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  28.00  in NextSource Materials on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1.00) from holding NextSource Materials or give up 3.57% of portfolio value over 90 days. NextSource Materials is currently producing 0.1424% returns and takes up 6.3967% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 57% of traded otc stocks are less volatile than NextSource, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon NextSource Materials is expected to generate 8.58 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 8.58 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

NextSource Materials Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NextSource OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.27 90 days 0.27 
about 86.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NextSource Materials to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.3 (This NextSource Materials probability density function shows the probability of NextSource OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NextSource Materials will likely underperform. Additionally NextSource Materials has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NextSource Materials Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NextSource Materials

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NextSource Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NextSource Materials' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.276.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.256.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.236.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.450.321.08
Details

NextSource Materials Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NextSource Materials is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NextSource Materials' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NextSource Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NextSource Materials within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

NextSource Materials Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NextSource Materials for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NextSource Materials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NextSource Materials had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
NextSource Materials has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
NextSource Materials has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
NextSource Materials has accumulated 349.82 K in total debt. NextSource Materials has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NextSource Materials until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NextSource Materials' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NextSource Materials sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NextSource to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NextSource Materials' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
NextSource Materials has accumulated about 9.79 M in cash with (1.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

NextSource Materials Fundamentals Growth

NextSource OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NextSource Materials, and NextSource Materials fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NextSource OTC Stock performance.

About NextSource Materials Performance

By analyzing NextSource Materials' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into NextSource Materials' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if NextSource Materials has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if NextSource Materials has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
NextSource Materials Inc. acquires, explores for, and develops mineral properties in Madagascar and Canada. NextSource Materials Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Nextsource Materials is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about NextSource Materials performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NextSource Materials for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for NextSource Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NextSource Materials had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
NextSource Materials has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
NextSource Materials has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
NextSource Materials has accumulated 349.82 K in total debt. NextSource Materials has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NextSource Materials until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NextSource Materials' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NextSource Materials sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NextSource to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NextSource Materials' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
NextSource Materials has accumulated about 9.79 M in cash with (1.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating NextSource Materials' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NextSource Materials' otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing NextSource Materials' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NextSource Materials' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NextSource Materials' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NextSource Materials' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NextSource Materials' management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NextSource Materials' otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into NextSource Materials' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NextSource Materials' otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NextSource Materials' otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running NextSource Materials' price analysis, check to measure NextSource Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NextSource Materials is operating at the current time. Most of NextSource Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NextSource Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NextSource Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NextSource Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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