Nutrien Stock Performance

NTR Stock  CAD 95.04  1.35  1.44%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Nutrien holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.16, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Nutrien are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Nutrien is likely to outperform the market. Please check Nutrien's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Nutrien's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Nutrien are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Nutrien displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0323
Payout Ratio
0.8713
Last Split Factor
0:1
Forward Dividend Rate
3.03
Dividend Date
2026-01-16
1
Nutrien selects US site for potash terminal - Reuters
11/19/2025
2
Nutrien Ltd Stock on December 3, 2025 Q3 Earnings Beat, Rising Potash Demand and 2026 Analyst Targets - ts2.tech
12/03/2025
3
Herbalife Nutrition stock hits 52-week high at 13. USD - Investing.com
12/10/2025
4
Breakouts Watch How currency fluctuations impact Nutrien Ltd stock - July 2025 Summary Daily Chart Pattern Signals - moha.gov.vn
12/16/2025
5
Nutrien Share Action Meets SP TSX Composite Index Pressure - Kalkine Media
12/29/2025
6
UBS Raises Price Target for Nutrien to 63, Maintains Neut - GuruFocus
01/12/2026
7
Mizuho Raises Price Target on Nutrien Amid Neutral Rating - GuruFocus
01/16/2026
8
All You Need to Know About Nutrien Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy - Nasdaq
01/28/2026
9
Nutrien Ltd Shares Gap Down to 68.47 on Feb 5 - GuruFocus
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow941 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.1 B
  

Nutrien Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,369  in Nutrien on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,135  from holding Nutrien or generate 13.56% return on investment over 90 days. Nutrien is generating 0.2293% of daily returns assuming 2.0595% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 18% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Nutrien, and 96% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nutrien is expected to generate 2.54 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Nutrien Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Nutrien Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 95.04 90 days 95.04 
about 6.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nutrien to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.76 (This Nutrien probability density function shows the probability of Nutrien Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nutrien has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nutrien are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nutrien is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nutrien has an alpha of 0.3689, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nutrien Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nutrien

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nutrien. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.8694.9296.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.2679.32104.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.030.921.22
Details

Nutrien Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nutrien is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nutrien's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nutrien, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nutrien within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
6.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Nutrien Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nutrien for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nutrien can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nutrien Ltd Shares Gap Down to 68.47 on Feb 5 - GuruFocus

Nutrien Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nutrien Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nutrien's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nutrien's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding494.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments853 M

Nutrien Fundamentals Growth

Nutrien Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nutrien, and Nutrien fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nutrien Stock performance.

About Nutrien Performance

By examining Nutrien's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Nutrien's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Nutrien is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 139.93  118.23 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 

Things to note about Nutrien performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nutrien for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nutrien help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nutrien Ltd Shares Gap Down to 68.47 on Feb 5 - GuruFocus
Evaluating Nutrien's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nutrien's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Nutrien's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nutrien's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nutrien's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nutrien's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nutrien's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nutrien's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nutrien's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nutrien's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nutrien's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Nutrien is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nutrien's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nutrien's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nutrien Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Nutrien. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Nutrien Stock, please use our How to Invest in Nutrien guide.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
It's important to distinguish between Nutrien's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nutrien should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Nutrien's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.