NVIDIA (Germany) Performance

NVD Stock  EUR 149.52  7.14  4.56%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.26, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NVIDIA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NVIDIA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, NVIDIA has a negative expected return of -0.0473%. Please make sure to verify NVIDIA's potential upside, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis , to decide if NVIDIA performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days NVIDIA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, NVIDIA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0002
Payout Ratio
0.0108
Last Split Factor
10:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.03
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-11
1
TD Cowen Says This Chip Stock Is the Best Idea for 2026 - Yahoo Finance
12/04/2025
2
Nvidia Stock Slips. Analysts Question Price Tag for Groq Technology. - Barrons
12/29/2025
3
Whats wrong with Nvidia Why shares of the AI juggernaut are struggling and whether it can break out of its funk - CNBC
01/14/2026
4
NVIDIA vs. Micron Which AI Chip Stock Is a Better Investment Option - Zacks Investment Research
01/19/2026
5
Louisiana State Employees Retirement System Trims Stock Holdings in NVIDIA Corporation NVDA - MarketBeat
01/22/2026
6
Nvidia Stock Faces Pressure on Alleged Aid to Chinas DeepSeek AI - TipRanks
01/28/2026
7
Top 20 by trading volume NVIDIA delays the launch of its new chip due to a chip shortage Google invests 180 billion in AI, with its stock closing slightly lower...
02/05/2026
8
Could Sandisk Stock Be the Next Nvidia - The Motley Fool
02/09/2026
9
Stock Market Strikes Bearish Tone As SP 500 Breaks Key Support Apple, Nvidia, Tesla In Focus - Investors Business Daily
02/12/2026
10
Meta expands Nvidia deal to use millions of AI chips in data center build-out, including standalone CPUs - CNBC
02/17/2026
11
While Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang enjoys an over 150 billion net worth, his fellow cofounder Curtis Priem sold out in 2006and missed out on 600 billion - Fortune
02/23/2026
  

NVIDIA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  15,607  in NVIDIA on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (655.00) from holding NVIDIA or give up 4.2% of portfolio value over 90 days. NVIDIA is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.2214% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 19% of traded stocks are less volatile than NVIDIA, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon NVIDIA is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.93 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

NVIDIA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NVIDIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 149.52 90 days 149.52 
over 95.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NVIDIA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.76 (This NVIDIA probability density function shows the probability of NVIDIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NVIDIA has a beta of -0.26. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NVIDIA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NVIDIA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NVIDIA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NVIDIA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NVIDIA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NVIDIA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
147.33149.55151.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
125.87128.09164.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
147.86150.08152.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
149.52149.52149.52
Details

NVIDIA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NVIDIA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NVIDIA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NVIDIA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NVIDIA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
4.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

NVIDIA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NVIDIA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NVIDIA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NVIDIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: While Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang enjoys an over 150 billion net worth, his fellow cofounder Curtis Priem sold out in 2006and missed out on 600 billion - Fortune

NVIDIA Fundamentals Growth

NVIDIA Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NVIDIA, and NVIDIA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NVIDIA Stock performance.

About NVIDIA Performance

By analyzing NVIDIA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into NVIDIA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if NVIDIA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if NVIDIA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 125.04  106.15 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.66  0.20 
Return On Capital Employed 0.75  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.58  0.15 
Return On Equity 0.76  0.26 

Things to note about NVIDIA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NVIDIA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NVIDIA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NVIDIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: While Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang enjoys an over 150 billion net worth, his fellow cofounder Curtis Priem sold out in 2006and missed out on 600 billion - Fortune
Evaluating NVIDIA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NVIDIA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing NVIDIA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NVIDIA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NVIDIA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NVIDIA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NVIDIA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NVIDIA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NVIDIA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NVIDIA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NVIDIA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for NVIDIA Stock analysis

When running NVIDIA's price analysis, check to measure NVIDIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVIDIA is operating at the current time. Most of NVIDIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVIDIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVIDIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVIDIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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