NVIDIA (Germany) Performance

NVD Stock   155.58  0.98  0.63%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.007, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NVIDIA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NVIDIA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, NVIDIA has a negative expected return of -0.0621%. Please make sure to verify NVIDIA's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if NVIDIA performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days NVIDIA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable fundamental indicators, NVIDIA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0002
Payout Ratio
0.0093
Last Split Factor
10:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.03
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-04
1
2 Reasons Nvidia Stock Is Getting Hit By Oracles Earnings - Barrons
12/11/2025
2
TSMC stock today U.S. China-tool licence and Nvidia H200 talks put Taiwan Semiconductor in focus - ts2.tech
01/02/2026
3
Broadcom or Nvidia Why Not Both and This Lesser Known Stock Too. - Barrons
01/09/2026
4
Alphabet and Amazon Just Said Something That May Eliminate Nvidias Biggest Risk - The Motley Fool
01/14/2026
5
RBC Bangs the Drum on Nvidia Stock - TipRanks
01/19/2026
6
Is Nvidia the Most Capital-Efficient Stock to Invest in - Zacks Investment Research
01/22/2026
7
Nvidia Stock The Road To New All-Time Highs In 2026 - Forbes
01/28/2026
8
Alphabet Just Delivered Great News for Nvidia Stock Investors - Nasdaq
02/05/2026
9
Nvidia CEO delivers 1-word reality check as software stocks crack - thestreet.com
02/09/2026
10
Nvidia Stock As Earnings Approach, Consider This Income-Generating Options Trade - Investors Business Daily
02/12/2026
11
Can Nvidias stock approach 400 Heres why earnings may mark the start of a big rally. - MarketWatch
02/17/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow7.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-20.4 B
  

NVIDIA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  16,323  in NVIDIA on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (765.00) from holding NVIDIA or give up 4.69% of portfolio value over 90 days. NVIDIA is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.9754% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 17% of stocks are less volatile than NVIDIA, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NVIDIA is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.61 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of volatility.

NVIDIA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NVIDIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 155.58 90 days 155.58 
about 65.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NVIDIA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 65.44 (This NVIDIA probability density function shows the probability of NVIDIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NVIDIA has a beta of -0.007. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NVIDIA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NVIDIA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NVIDIA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NVIDIA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NVIDIA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NVIDIA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NVIDIA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
153.62155.60157.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
153.68155.66157.64
Details

NVIDIA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NVIDIA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NVIDIA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NVIDIA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NVIDIA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.007
σ
Overall volatility
4.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

NVIDIA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NVIDIA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NVIDIA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NVIDIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NVIDIA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Can Nvidias stock approach 400 Heres why earnings may mark the start of a big rally. - MarketWatch

NVIDIA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NVIDIA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NVIDIA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NVIDIA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments43.2 B

NVIDIA Fundamentals Growth

NVIDIA Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NVIDIA, and NVIDIA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NVIDIA Stock performance.

About NVIDIA Performance

Assessing NVIDIA's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into NVIDIA's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the NVIDIA is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
NVIDIA is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on XETRA exchange.

Things to note about NVIDIA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NVIDIA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NVIDIA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NVIDIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NVIDIA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Can Nvidias stock approach 400 Heres why earnings may mark the start of a big rally. - MarketWatch
Evaluating NVIDIA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NVIDIA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing NVIDIA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NVIDIA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NVIDIA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NVIDIA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NVIDIA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NVIDIA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NVIDIA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NVIDIA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NVIDIA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for NVIDIA Stock Analysis

When running NVIDIA's price analysis, check to measure NVIDIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVIDIA is operating at the current time. Most of NVIDIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVIDIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVIDIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVIDIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.