AXS 125X NVDA ETF Performance

NVDS ETF  USD 21.18  -0.52  -2.40%   
AXS 125X's return record is summarized here, from recent weeks to multi-year horizons. Based on the 3 months horizon, AXS 125X shows an expected return of -0.33%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
0 · Weak
AXS 125X NVDA posted below-breakeven returns over the last 90 days, with return quality lagging for investors with long positions. Weak return efficiency can persist even when isolated price moves briefly appear constructive. AXS 125X has failed to convert its risk exposure into positive returns over recent months, signaling weak return efficiency. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 2,698 in AXS 125X NVDA on February 10, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 580.00 , a decline of 21.5% over 90 days. AXS 125X NVDA does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 3.36% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, AXS 125X exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 70% of comparable etfs, and NVDS has trailed 99% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary evaluates how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Given a 90-day horizon, NVDS has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, NVDS is 3.64 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.1%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.02% per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Some traders use historical trading ranges as one reference point when evaluating whether AXS 125X ETF appears relatively overextended or discounted. Historical valuation ranges should be interpreted cautiously, especially during periods of strong momentum or macroeconomic stress. The relationship between price and historical averages can weaken during periods of elevated uncertainty. Historical pricing context may help frame expectations, but it does not guarantee future price direction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
21.18 90 days 21.18
about 98.0 %
Statistical modeling indicates that the probability of AXS 125X moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 %. The historical return profile over this window has produced more above-current than below-current outcomes. (This ETF distribution maps the range in which AXS 125X ETF has been most likely to trade over the next 90 days).
Given a 90-day horizon, AXS 125X NVDA has a beta of -1.91. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on AXS 125X NVDA tend to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, AXS 125X tends to outperform its benchmark. Additionally, AXS 125X NVDA has a negative alpha, implying that risk has not been adequately compensated by returns. NVDS is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AXS 125X Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AXS 125X

Accurately predicting the ETF market is one of the most challenging tasks for investors analyzing AXS 125X NVDA. No single approach dominates, but the practice of forecasting remains an essential element of the investment process. Applying a variety of techniques rather than relying on a single model for AXS 125X NVDA improves the reliability of the conclusion. The practice of comparing forecasts for AXS 125X NVDA builds analytical resilience regardless of which model proves most accurate.
Mean reversion setups in AXS 125X emerge when price has deviated materially from its long-run average. Sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks are common catalysts for these temporary dislocations in AXS 125X. Prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions, creating mean reversion opportunities in AXS 125X. The mean reversion signal gains reliability when combined with fundamental confirmation for AXS 125X.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
17.3620.7224.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
17.2420.6023.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.4522.8126.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1923.7827.37
Details
This analysis measures AXS 125X's competitive standing across key financial and valuation dimensions. Relative margins, returns, and growth rates indicate whether AXS 125X's valuation reflects competitive positioning. Relative performance on margins and returns indicates whether the current valuation premium or discount is justified. Competitive standing on returns, margins, and growth relative to peers frames AXS 125X's current market pricing.

Primary Risk Indicators

Volatility has been a defining feature of the ETF market in recent decades, and AXS 125X has reflected that pattern. Sudden corrections and sharp rallies have tested many portfolios that include AXS 125X. A risk management approach built around AXS 125X's volatility metrics manages downside exposure. Tracking AXS 125X's risk indicators over time reveals how the risk profile evolves across market cycles.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.513
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.91
σ
Overall volatility
2.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.1406

Investor Alerts and Insights

For investors following AXS 125X, automated alerts provide early signals of meaningful shifts in ETF dynamics. AXS 125X NVDA notifications highlight material changes that could affect portfolio decisions and aggregate risk exposure. Customizable AXS 125X alert parameters accommodate different risk tolerances and investment horizons. Pairing alerts with independent analysis strengthens conviction in AXS 125X investment decisions.
AXS 125X NVDA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AXS 125X NVDA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The fund created three year return of -69.0%

AXS 125X Fundamentals Growth

The pricing of AXS 125X ETF is heavily influenced by AXS 125X's fundamental performance over time. Investors monitor revenue growth, profit margins, cash flow generation, and debt management as key indicators. The performance of AXS 125X ETF is closely linked to AXS 125X's underlying financial metrics and growth rates. Profitability trends, cash flow generation, and capital structure remain the key fundamentals for AXS 125X ETF.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown and recovery analysis for AXS 125X reveals how the fund behaves during stress episodes and subsequent rebounds. Maximum drawdown depth defines the worst observed loss from peak, framing downside exposure.

AXS 125X NVDA metrics are compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and normalized before display. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board