Nextracker Class A Stock Performance

NXT Stock   117.09  3.99  3.30%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Nextracker holds a performance score of 6. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.03, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Nextracker will likely underperform. Please check Nextracker's treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the Expected Short fall and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Nextracker's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Nextracker Class A are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Nextracker unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.30)
Five Day Return
11.15
Year To Date Return
26.2
Ten Year Return
277.59
All Time Return
277.59
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Begin Period Cash Flow474.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-186.1 M

Nextracker Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,150  in Nextracker Class A on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,559  from holding Nextracker Class A or generate 15.36% return on investment over 90 days. Nextracker Class A is generating 0.3177% of daily returns assuming volatility of 4.1449% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 37% of stocks are less volatile than Nextracker, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nextracker is expected to generate 5.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Nextracker Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Nextracker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 117.09 90 days 117.09 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nextracker to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nextracker Class A probability density function shows the probability of Nextracker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.03 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nextracker will likely underperform. Additionally Nextracker Class A has an alpha of 0.2822, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nextracker Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nextracker

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nextracker Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nextracker's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
116.96121.08125.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.1894.30133.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
125.46129.58133.69
Details
30 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
106.77117.33130.24
Details

Nextracker Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nextracker is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nextracker's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nextracker Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nextracker within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.03
σ
Overall volatility
8.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Nextracker Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nextracker for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nextracker Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nextracker Class A had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Nextpower Margin Compression Challenges Bullish Earnings Narrative After Q3 2026 Results

Nextracker Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nextracker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nextracker's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nextracker's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding149.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments766.1 M

Nextracker Fundamentals Growth

Nextracker Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nextracker, and Nextracker fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nextracker Stock performance.

About Nextracker Performance

Assessing Nextracker's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Nextracker's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Nextracker is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 35.27  27.98 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.27  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.14  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.28  0.17 

Things to note about Nextracker Class A performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nextracker for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nextracker Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nextracker Class A had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Nextpower Margin Compression Challenges Bullish Earnings Narrative After Q3 2026 Results
Evaluating Nextracker's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nextracker's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Nextracker's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nextracker's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nextracker's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nextracker's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nextracker's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nextracker's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nextracker's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nextracker's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nextracker's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Nextracker Stock Analysis

When running Nextracker's price analysis, check to measure Nextracker's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nextracker is operating at the current time. Most of Nextracker's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nextracker's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nextracker's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nextracker to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.