Obducat AB (Germany) Performance

OBD Stock  EUR 0.01  0.01  50.00%   
Obducat AB holds a performance score of 17 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company holds a Beta of -7.0, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Obducat AB are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Obducat AB is expected to outperform it. Use Obducat AB coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to analyze future returns on Obducat AB.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Obducat AB are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, Obducat AB reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow4.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5 M
  

Obducat AB Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  0.10  in Obducat AB on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.40  from holding Obducat AB or generate 400.0% return on investment over 90 days. Obducat AB is currently producing 48.2521% returns and takes up 217.9744% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Obducat, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Obducat AB is expected to generate 291.84 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 291.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Obducat AB Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Obducat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 72.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Obducat AB to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.69 (This Obducat AB probability density function shows the probability of Obducat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Obducat AB has a beta of -7.0. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Obducat AB are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Obducat AB is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Obducat AB has an alpha of 117.32, implying that it can generate a 117.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Obducat AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Obducat AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Obducat AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00050.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.01216.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.010.01
Details

Obducat AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Obducat AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Obducat AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Obducat AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Obducat AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
117.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-7
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Obducat AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Obducat AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Obducat AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Obducat AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Obducat AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Obducat AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Obducat AB has accumulated 1.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 17.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Obducat AB has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Obducat AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Obducat AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Obducat AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Obducat to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Obducat AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 32.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.36 M.
Obducat AB has accumulated about 43.24 K in cash with (13.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Obducat AB Fundamentals Growth

Obducat Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Obducat AB, and Obducat AB fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Obducat Stock performance.

About Obducat AB Performance

By analyzing Obducat AB's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Obducat AB's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Obducat AB has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Obducat AB has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Obducat AB develops and supplies lithography solutions for the use in the production and replication of micro and nanostructures. Obducat AB was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden. OBDUCAT AB is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.

Things to note about Obducat AB performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Obducat AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Obducat AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Obducat AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Obducat AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Obducat AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Obducat AB has accumulated 1.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 17.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Obducat AB has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Obducat AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Obducat AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Obducat AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Obducat to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Obducat AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 32.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.36 M.
Obducat AB has accumulated about 43.24 K in cash with (13.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Evaluating Obducat AB's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Obducat AB's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Obducat AB's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Obducat AB's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Obducat AB's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Obducat AB's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Obducat AB's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Obducat AB's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Obducat AB's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Obducat AB's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Obducat AB's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Obducat Stock analysis

When running Obducat AB's price analysis, check to measure Obducat AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Obducat AB is operating at the current time. Most of Obducat AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Obducat AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Obducat AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Obducat AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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