OCBC (Germany) Performance

OCBA Stock   14.55  0.05  0.34%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, OCBC holds a performance score of 26. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0052, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning OCBC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, OCBC is likely to outperform the market. Please check OCBC's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether OCBC's current price history will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in OCBC are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, OCBC unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow28.9 B
Free Cash Flow3.4 B
  

OCBC Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,188  in OCBC on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  267.00  from holding OCBC or generate 22.47% return on investment over 90 days. OCBC is generating 0.3436% of daily returns and assumes 1.0227% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 9% of stocks are less volatile than OCBC, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OCBC is expected to generate 1.37 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.37 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

OCBC Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of OCBC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.55 90 days 14.55 
about 6.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OCBC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.04 (This OCBC probability density function shows the probability of OCBC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OCBC has a beta of -0.0052. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OCBC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OCBC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OCBC has an alpha of 0.334, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   OCBC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OCBC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OCBC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5014.5215.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1016.3717.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5114.5315.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2614.2817.29
Details

OCBC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OCBC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OCBC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OCBC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OCBC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0052
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

OCBC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OCBC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OCBC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OCBC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.5 B
Dividends Paid-4 B

OCBC Fundamentals Growth

OCBC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of OCBC, and OCBC fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on OCBC Stock performance.

About OCBC Performance

Assessing OCBC's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into OCBC's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the OCBC is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about OCBC performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about OCBC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for OCBC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating OCBC's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate OCBC's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing OCBC's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether OCBC's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining OCBC's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating OCBC's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of OCBC's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of OCBC's stock. These opinions can provide insight into OCBC's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating OCBC's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact OCBC's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for OCBC Stock Analysis

When running OCBC's price analysis, check to measure OCBC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OCBC is operating at the current time. Most of OCBC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OCBC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OCBC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OCBC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.