ORIX Leasing (Pakistan) Performance

OLPL Stock   47.01  0.67  1.45%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.1, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, ORIX Leasing's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ORIX Leasing is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, ORIX Leasing Pakistan has a negative expected return of -0.0438%. Please make sure to check ORIX Leasing's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if ORIX Leasing Pakistan performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ORIX Leasing Pakistan has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, ORIX Leasing is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

ORIX Leasing Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,853  in ORIX Leasing Pakistan on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (152.00) from holding ORIX Leasing Pakistan or give up 3.13% of portfolio value over 90 days. ORIX Leasing Pakistan is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.3659% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 12% of stocks are less volatile than ORIX, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ORIX Leasing is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

ORIX Leasing Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ORIX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 47.01 90 days 47.01 
about 90.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ORIX Leasing to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.32 (This ORIX Leasing Pakistan probability density function shows the probability of ORIX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ORIX Leasing has a beta of 0.1. This indicates as returns on the market go up, ORIX Leasing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ORIX Leasing Pakistan will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ORIX Leasing Pakistan has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ORIX Leasing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ORIX Leasing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ORIX Leasing Pakistan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.6447.0148.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.3446.7148.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.2146.5747.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.3946.7947.46
Details

ORIX Leasing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ORIX Leasing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ORIX Leasing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ORIX Leasing Pakistan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ORIX Leasing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

ORIX Leasing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ORIX Leasing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ORIX Leasing Pakistan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ORIX Leasing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

About ORIX Leasing Performance

By analyzing ORIX Leasing's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ORIX Leasing's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ORIX Leasing has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ORIX Leasing has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about ORIX Leasing Pakistan performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ORIX Leasing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ORIX Leasing Pakistan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ORIX Leasing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating ORIX Leasing's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ORIX Leasing's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ORIX Leasing's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ORIX Leasing's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ORIX Leasing's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ORIX Leasing's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ORIX Leasing's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ORIX Leasing's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ORIX Leasing's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ORIX Leasing's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ORIX Leasing's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for ORIX Stock analysis

When running ORIX Leasing's price analysis, check to measure ORIX Leasing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ORIX Leasing is operating at the current time. Most of ORIX Leasing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ORIX Leasing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ORIX Leasing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ORIX Leasing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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