Opal Fuels Stock Performance

OPAL Stock  USD 2.16  0.07  3.14%   
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.63, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, OPAL Fuels' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding OPAL Fuels is expected to be smaller as well. OPAL Fuels now owns a risk of 5.54%. Please check OPAL Fuels value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if OPAL Fuels will be following its current price history.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days OPAL Fuels has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, OPAL Fuels is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
11.57
Five Day Return
3.88
Year To Date Return
1.26
Ten Year Return
(75.41)
All Time Return
(75.41)
Last Split Factor
1:1
Last Split Date
2022-07-22
1
Disposition of 80704 shares by David Unger of OPAL Fuels subject to Rule 16b-3
11/12/2025
2
Opal Security Appoints Howard Ting as Chief Executive Officer
12/11/2025
3
OPAL Fuels Raised to Hold at Wall Street Zen - MarketBeat
12/19/2025
4
OPAL Fuels Insiders Placed Bullish Bets Worth US695.0k
01/12/2026
5
EvolvOptic Selected to Provide Prototype Mirror Components for NSF OPAL Development
01/20/2026
6
Disposition of 50000000 shares by Comora Mark S of OPAL Fuels subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
7
Insider Stock Buying Reaches US695.0k On OPAL Fuels
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow47.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-134.6 M

OPAL Fuels Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  228.00  in OPAL Fuels on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (12.00) from holding OPAL Fuels or give up 5.26% of portfolio value over 90 days. OPAL Fuels is currently generating 0.0619% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.538% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 49% of stocks are less volatile than OPAL, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days OPAL Fuels is expected to generate 1.55 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.76 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

OPAL Fuels Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of OPAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.16 90 days 2.16 
about 88.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OPAL Fuels to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.92 (This OPAL Fuels probability density function shows the probability of OPAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days OPAL Fuels has a beta of 0.63. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OPAL Fuels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OPAL Fuels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OPAL Fuels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   OPAL Fuels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OPAL Fuels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OPAL Fuels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.167.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.608.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.897.42
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.013.313.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OPAL Fuels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OPAL Fuels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OPAL Fuels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in OPAL Fuels.

OPAL Fuels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OPAL Fuels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OPAL Fuels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OPAL Fuels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OPAL Fuels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

OPAL Fuels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OPAL Fuels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OPAL Fuels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OPAL Fuels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
OPAL Fuels has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Stock Buying Reaches US695.0k On OPAL Fuels

OPAL Fuels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OPAL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OPAL Fuels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OPAL Fuels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments24.3 M

OPAL Fuels Fundamentals Growth

OPAL Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of OPAL Fuels, and OPAL Fuels fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on OPAL Stock performance.

About OPAL Fuels Performance

By examining OPAL Fuels' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into OPAL Fuels' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that OPAL Fuels is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 16.92  13.88 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity(0.07)(0.07)

Things to note about OPAL Fuels performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about OPAL Fuels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for OPAL Fuels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OPAL Fuels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
OPAL Fuels has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Stock Buying Reaches US695.0k On OPAL Fuels
Evaluating OPAL Fuels' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate OPAL Fuels' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing OPAL Fuels' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether OPAL Fuels' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining OPAL Fuels' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating OPAL Fuels' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of OPAL Fuels' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of OPAL Fuels' stock. These opinions can provide insight into OPAL Fuels' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating OPAL Fuels' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact OPAL Fuels' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether OPAL Fuels is a strong investment it is important to analyze OPAL Fuels' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact OPAL Fuels' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding OPAL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in OPAL Fuels. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
For more information on how to buy OPAL Stock please use our How to buy in OPAL Stock guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OPAL Fuels. Anticipated expansion of OPAL directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive OPAL Fuels assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Earnings Share
0.02
Revenue Per Share
11.761
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
(0.0006)
The market value of OPAL Fuels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OPAL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OPAL Fuels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OPAL Fuels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OPAL Fuels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OPAL Fuels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between OPAL Fuels' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OPAL Fuels should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, OPAL Fuels' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.