Oracle (Germany) Performance

ORC Stock  EUR 150.62  1.38  0.91%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.69, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Oracle's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Oracle is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Oracle has a negative expected return of -0.73%. Please make sure to check Oracle's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Oracle performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Oracle has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow30.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities11.2 B
  

Oracle Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  24,081  in Oracle on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (9,019) from holding Oracle or give up 37.45% of portfolio value over 90 days. Oracle is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 3.2705% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 29% of traded stocks are less volatile than Oracle, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oracle is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Oracle Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Oracle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 150.62 90 days 150.62 
about 89.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.62 (This Oracle probability density function shows the probability of Oracle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oracle has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oracle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oracle will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oracle has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Oracle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oracle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
147.38150.62153.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
123.28126.52165.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
139.49142.73145.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
146.82162.01177.20
Details

Oracle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.77
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
23.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Oracle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Oracle has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Oracle Fundamentals Growth

Oracle Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Oracle, and Oracle fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Oracle Stock performance.

About Oracle Performance

By analyzing Oracle's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Oracle's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Oracle has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Oracle has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Oracle Corporation provides products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Redwood Shores, California. ORACLE CORP operates under Software - Infrastructure classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 136000 people.

Things to note about Oracle performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Oracle has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Oracle's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Oracle's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Oracle's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Oracle's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Oracle's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Oracle's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Oracle's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Oracle's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Oracle's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Oracle's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Oracle's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Oracle Stock analysis

When running Oracle's price analysis, check to measure Oracle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oracle is operating at the current time. Most of Oracle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oracle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oracle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oracle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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