Oracle (Germany) Performance

ORC Stock   125.90  2.96  2.41%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.94, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Oracle returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Oracle is expected to follow. At this point, Oracle has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to check Oracle's jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Oracle performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Oracle has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0138
Payout Ratio
0.3586
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.7
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-09
1
Oracles mixed earnings fail to dispel AI fears, and the stock falls - MarketWatch
12/10/2025
2
Is Oracle Still Attractive After Its Strong Multi Year Share Price Rally - Yahoo Finance
01/06/2026
3
Oracle Stock Plunges as Court Battle Erupts over Bond Losses Linked to AI Push - TipRanks
01/14/2026
4
Oracle Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Weakness And DCF Premium - simplywall.st
01/21/2026
5
Oracle is a Decade Stock, Could More Than Double, Says Analyst - 247 Wall St.
01/30/2026
6
Oracle Stock Slips as Banks Explore Selling Its Data Center Loans - TipRanks
02/03/2026
7
I Predicted Oracle Would Be the Hottest Ten Titans Stock to Buy in 2026, But the Growth Stock Is Already Down 27 percent This Year. Is Oracle Still a Buy - Yaho...
02/12/2026
8
DTE Energy Has a Data-Center Deal With Oracle. The Stock Is Flat After Earnings. - Barrons
02/17/2026
9
Oracle Stock Plunges 55 percent Buy the Dip or Stay Away - Yahoo Finance
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow10.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-21.7 B
  

Oracle Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  17,506  in Oracle on December 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4,916) from holding Oracle or give up 28.08% of portfolio value over 90 days. Oracle is generating negative expected returns and assumes 3.715% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Oracle, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oracle is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.91 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.05 per unit of volatility.

Oracle Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Oracle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 125.90 90 days 125.90 
about 92.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.4 (This Oracle probability density function shows the probability of Oracle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oracle has a beta of 0.94. This indicates Oracle market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Oracle is expected to follow. Additionally Oracle has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Oracle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oracle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oracle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119.78123.48127.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.57103.27135.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
121.35125.05128.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
122.94122.94122.94
Details

Oracle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
19.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Oracle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Oracle Stock Plunges 55 percent Buy the Dip or Stay Away - Yahoo Finance

Oracle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oracle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oracle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oracle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments11.2 B

Oracle Fundamentals Growth

Oracle Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Oracle, and Oracle fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Oracle Stock performance.

About Oracle Performance

Assessing Oracle's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Oracle's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Oracle is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Oracle is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on XETRA exchange.

Things to note about Oracle performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Oracle Stock Plunges 55 percent Buy the Dip or Stay Away - Yahoo Finance
Evaluating Oracle's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Oracle's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Oracle's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Oracle's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Oracle's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Oracle's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Oracle's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Oracle's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Oracle's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Oracle's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Oracle's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Oracle Stock Analysis

When running Oracle's price analysis, check to measure Oracle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oracle is operating at the current time. Most of Oracle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oracle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oracle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oracle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.