Outback Goldfields Corp Stock Performance

OZ Stock   0.43  0.05  10.42%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Outback Goldfields holds a performance score of 6. The company holds a Beta of 0.24, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Outback Goldfields' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Outback Goldfields is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Outback Goldfields' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Outback Goldfields' historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Outback Goldfields Corp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly abnormal basic indicators, Outback Goldfields showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow83.7 K
Free Cash Flow-2.4 M
  

Outback Goldfields Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  34.00  in Outback Goldfields Corp on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9.00  from holding Outback Goldfields Corp or generate 26.47% return on investment over 90 days. Outback Goldfields Corp is currently generating 0.5967% in daily expected returns and assumes 6.8562% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 61% of stocks are less volatile than Outback, and 88% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Outback Goldfields is expected to generate 9.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Outback Goldfields Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Outback Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.43 90 days 0.43 
about 11.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Outback Goldfields to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.29 (This Outback Goldfields Corp probability density function shows the probability of Outback Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Outback Goldfields has a beta of 0.24. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Outback Goldfields average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Outback Goldfields Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Outback Goldfields Corp has an alpha of 0.5782, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Outback Goldfields Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Outback Goldfields

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Outback Goldfields Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.467.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.417.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.467.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.310.420.52
Details

Outback Goldfields Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Outback Goldfields is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Outback Goldfields' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Outback Goldfields Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Outback Goldfields within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Outback Goldfields Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Outback Goldfields for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Outback Goldfields Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Outback Goldfields is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Outback Goldfields has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Outback Goldfields appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (17.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Outback Goldfields generates negative cash flow from operations
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Clean Air Metals narrows loss as Thunder Bay North project advances with new PEA and step-out drill results - MSN

Outback Goldfields Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Outback Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Outback Goldfields' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Outback Goldfields' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.6 M
Shares Float28.6 M

Outback Goldfields Fundamentals Growth

Outback Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Outback Goldfields, and Outback Goldfields fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Outback Stock performance.

About Outback Goldfields Performance

Evaluating Outback Goldfields' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Outback Goldfields has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Outback Goldfields has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about Outback Goldfields Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Outback Goldfields for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Outback Goldfields Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Outback Goldfields is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Outback Goldfields has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Outback Goldfields appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (17.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Outback Goldfields generates negative cash flow from operations
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Clean Air Metals narrows loss as Thunder Bay North project advances with new PEA and step-out drill results - MSN
Evaluating Outback Goldfields' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Outback Goldfields' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Outback Goldfields' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Outback Goldfields' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Outback Goldfields' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Outback Goldfields' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Outback Goldfields' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Outback Goldfields' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Outback Goldfields' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Outback Goldfields' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Outback Goldfields' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Outback Stock Analysis

When running Outback Goldfields' price analysis, check to measure Outback Goldfields' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Outback Goldfields is operating at the current time. Most of Outback Goldfields' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Outback Goldfields' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Outback Goldfields' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Outback Goldfields to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.