Petmed Express Stock Performance

PETS Stock  USD 3.24  0.03  0.92%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, PetMed Express holds a performance score of 6. The company holds a Beta of 5.18, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PetMed Express will likely underperform. Please check PetMed Express' sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether PetMed Express' historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PetMed Express are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, PetMed Express unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow104.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-40.7 M

PetMed Express Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  259.00  in PetMed Express on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  65.00  from holding PetMed Express or generate 25.1% return on investment over 90 days. PetMed Express is currently generating 0.8924% in daily expected returns and assumes 11.3484% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than PetMed, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days PetMed Express is expected to generate 15.14 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 15.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

PetMed Express Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PetMed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.24 90 days 3.24 
about 24.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PetMed Express to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.41 (This PetMed Express probability density function shows the probability of PetMed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 5.18 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PetMed Express will likely underperform. Additionally PetMed Express has an alpha of 0.5237, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PetMed Express Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PetMed Express

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PetMed Express. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PetMed Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.7915.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.7014.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.8515.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.193.393.59
Details

PetMed Express Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PetMed Express is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PetMed Express' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PetMed Express, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PetMed Express within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones5.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

PetMed Express Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PetMed Express for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PetMed Express can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PetMed Express is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PetMed Express appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 274.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 58.15 M.
PetMed Express has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

PetMed Express Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PetMed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PetMed Express' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PetMed Express' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments55.3 M

PetMed Express Fundamentals Growth

PetMed Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PetMed Express, and PetMed Express fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PetMed Stock performance.

About PetMed Express Performance

Assessing PetMed Express' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into PetMed Express' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the PetMed Express is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
PetMed Express, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pet pharmacy in the United States. PetMed Express, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Delray Beach, Florida. Petmed Express operates under Pharmaceutical Retailers classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 212 people.

Things to note about PetMed Express performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PetMed Express for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PetMed Express help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PetMed Express is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PetMed Express appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 274.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 58.15 M.
PetMed Express has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating PetMed Express' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PetMed Express' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PetMed Express' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PetMed Express' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PetMed Express' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PetMed Express' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PetMed Express' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PetMed Express' stock. These opinions can provide insight into PetMed Express' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PetMed Express' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PetMed Express' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for PetMed Stock Analysis

When running PetMed Express' price analysis, check to measure PetMed Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PetMed Express is operating at the current time. Most of PetMed Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PetMed Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PetMed Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PetMed Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.