Prudential Government Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PGIQX Fund  USD 7.80  0.01  0.13%   
The fund holds a Beta of -0.0817, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Prudential Government are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Prudential Government is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Prudential Government Income has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Prudential Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio0.4700
  

Prudential Government Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  795.00  in Prudential Government Income on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (15.00) from holding Prudential Government Income or give up 1.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Prudential Government Income is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.3127% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Prudential, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Prudential Government is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.49 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Prudential Government Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
7.80
Please note that Prudential Government's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Prudential Government holds a recent Real Value of $7.52 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $7.8. We determine the value of Prudential Government from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Prudential Government is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Prudential Mutual Fund. However, Prudential Government's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.8 Real  7.52 Hype  7.8 Naive  7.79
The intrinsic value of Prudential Government's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Prudential Government's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.52
Real Value
7.83
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Prudential Government Income helps investors to forecast how Prudential mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Prudential Government more accurately as focusing exclusively on Prudential Government's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.767.807.85
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.497.808.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.487.798.10
Details

Prudential Government Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Prudential Government's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Prudential Government Income, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Prudential Government's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0951

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Negative ReturnsPGIQX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.31
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.1
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Prudential Government is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Prudential Government by adding Prudential Government to a well-diversified portfolio.

Prudential Government Fundamentals Growth

Prudential Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Prudential Government, and Prudential Government fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Prudential Mutual Fund performance.

About Prudential Government Performance

Evaluating Prudential Government's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Prudential Government has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Prudential Government has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its investable assets in U.S. government securities, including U.S. Treasury bills, notes, bonds, strips and other debt securities issued by the U.S. Treasury, and obligations, including mortgage-related securities, issued or guaranteed by U.S. government agencies or instrumentalities. Its investable assets will be less than its total assets to the extent that it has borrowed money for non-investment purposes, such as to meet anticipated redemptions.

Things to note about Prudential Government performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prudential Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Prudential Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prudential Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Prudential Government generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains about 7.55% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Prudential Government's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Prudential Government's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Prudential Government's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Prudential Government's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Prudential Government's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Prudential Government's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Prudential Government's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Prudential Government's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Prudential Government's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Prudential Government's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Prudential Government's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Prudential Mutual Fund

Prudential Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prudential Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prudential with respect to the benefits of owning Prudential Government security.
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