Phunware Stock Performance

PHUN Stock  USD 1.76  0.05  2.76%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.16, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Phunware will likely underperform. At this point, Phunware has a negative expected return of -0.44%. Please make sure to check Phunware's value at risk, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Phunware performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Phunware has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow3.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities15.4 M

Phunware Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  245.00  in Phunware on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (64.00) from holding Phunware or give up 26.12% of portfolio value over 90 days. Phunware is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.253% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Phunware, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Phunware is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Phunware Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Phunware Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.76 90 days 1.76 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phunware to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Phunware probability density function shows the probability of Phunware Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.16 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Phunware will likely underperform. Additionally Phunware has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Phunware Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Phunware

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phunware. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Phunware's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.815.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.524.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.755.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.781.922.05
Details

Phunware Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phunware is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phunware's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phunware, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phunware within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Phunware Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phunware for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phunware can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Phunware generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Phunware may become a speculative penny stock
Phunware has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Phunware currently holds 932 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Phunware has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Phunware's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 3.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 974 K.
Phunware currently holds about 8.54 M in cash with (13.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.

Phunware Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phunware Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phunware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phunware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11 M
Cash And Short Term Investments113 M

Phunware Fundamentals Growth

Phunware Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Phunware, and Phunware fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Phunware Stock performance.

About Phunware Performance

By examining Phunware's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Phunware's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Phunware is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Phunware, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers integrated software platform that equips companies with the products, solutions, and services to engage, manage, and monetize their mobile application portfolios in the United States and internationally. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Phunware operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 120 people.

Things to note about Phunware performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Phunware for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Phunware help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Phunware generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Phunware may become a speculative penny stock
Phunware has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Phunware currently holds 932 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Phunware has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Phunware's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 3.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 974 K.
Phunware currently holds about 8.54 M in cash with (13.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Evaluating Phunware's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Phunware's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Phunware's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Phunware's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Phunware's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Phunware's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Phunware's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Phunware's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Phunware's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Phunware's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Phunware's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Phunware offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Phunware's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Phunware Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Phunware Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Phunware. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
To learn how to invest in Phunware Stock, please use our How to Invest in Phunware guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Phunware diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phunware. Anticipated expansion of Phunware directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Phunware data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Phunware's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Phunware's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Phunware's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Phunware's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Phunware's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Phunware should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Phunware's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.