Vaneck ETF Trust ETF Performance

PIT ETF   73.65  -0.87  -1.17%   
VanEck ETF's performance page tracks how VanEck ETF has rewarded shareholders across different timeframes. The stock's expected return across the 3 months window is 0.42%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0100
18 · Constructive
Recent 90-day data places Vaneck ETF Trust below 18% of comparable global equities and portfolios in return efficiency. Comparing this score with sector peers and broader benchmarks adds further context to the ranking. Over recent months, VanEck ETF has shown strength in converting risk exposure into positive shareholder returns. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 5,801 in Vaneck ETF Trust on February 6, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 1,651 , a return of 28.46% over 90 days. Vaneck ETF Trust is generating a 0.4218% daily return assuming volatility of 1.85% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, VanEck ETF exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 84% of comparable etfs, and PIT delivers lower expected returns than 92% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Over a 90-day investment horizon, PIT generates 2.0 times more return on investment than the market. However, PIT is 2.0 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.23% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For VanEck ETF ETF, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful forecasting baseline. Investors have relied on this tendency for decades, though persistent mispricings in some instruments suggest additional risk factors. Certain ETFs show persistent deviations from their intrinsic value estimates, typically explained by the risk investors bear. Applying mean reversion analysis to VanEck ETF ETF helps identify potential entry points when prices are extended.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
73.65 90 days 73.65
about 18.7 %
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of VanEck ETF moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 18.7 %. Over this horizon, the return distribution for this ETF has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The curve highlights the price band where the market has recently concentrated expectations for VanEck ETF ETF over the next 90 days). A narrower shape indicates the market has recently priced VanEck ETF ETF into a more concentrated outcome range.
Over a 90-day investment horizon, Vaneck ETF Trust has a beta of -0.82 indicating that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on VanEck ETF tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Vaneck ETF Trust tends to outperform the market. Additionally, Vaneck ETF Trust has an alpha of 0.4799, implying that it can generate a 0.4799 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   VanEck ETF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VanEck ETF

A variety of analytical techniques are available for forecasting VanEck ETF Trust and the broader ETF market. From technical pattern analysis to statistical models, each method contributes a different perspective on VanEck ETF Trust. A systematic comparison of model outputs provides context to form a more balanced perspective on VanEck ETF Trust. Refining forecasting methods over time can incrementally improve the quality of decisions made about VanEck ETF Trust.
The mean reversion principle applied to VanEck ETF's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of VanEck ETF's price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal. The mean reversion tendency in VanEck ETF's price is a well-documented phenomenon in academic research. In many cases, VanEck ETF's price extremes present statistical patterns that have recurred historically.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
71.8073.6575.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
64.4866.3381.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.8674.7176.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
69.0073.2777.53
Details
Competitive analysis for VanEck ETF compares its financial performance and valuation metrics against sector peers. Cross-sectional comparison separates idiosyncratic performance from sector-level dynamics. VanEck ETF's metrics are most informative when compared against the strongest and weakest performers in its sector. Cross-company comparison helps validate or challenge assumptions embedded in VanEck ETF's current valuation.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the ETF market, with VanEck ETF experiencing notable price swings. VanEck ETF has reflected this volatile environment with periods of significant price swings. Tracking shifts in VanEck ETF's fundamental risk indicators is one approach to mitigating this exposure. This risk data equips investors with the information needed to adjust Vaneck ETF Trust exposure proactively.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.82
σ
Overall volatility
6.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

VanEck ETF Fundamentals Growth

VanEck ETF ETF performance is fundamentally tied to VanEck ETF's financial health and growth outlook. Investors track revenue and earnings growth, margin stability, and balance sheet health for VanEck ETF ETF. The market prices VanEck ETF ETF according to VanEck ETF's ability to generate revenue and manage debt effectively. Investors evaluating VanEck ETF ETF should focus on VanEck ETF's earnings quality and revenue momentum.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

VanEck ETF risk-adjusted performance compares returns to the volatility absorbed while tracking its benchmark. Risk-adjusted metrics help distinguish skill-driven returns from volatility-driven outcomes.

Vaneck ETF Trust values are built from fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with reporting definitions aligned before display. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board