Moderate Duration Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| PMDRX Fund | USD 9.55 0.02 0.21% |
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.008, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Moderate Duration's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Moderate Duration is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Moderate Duration Fund are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Moderate Duration is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...moreModerate |
Moderate Duration Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 940.00 in Moderate Duration Fund on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 15.00 from holding Moderate Duration Fund or generate 1.6% return on investment over 90 days. Moderate Duration Fund is currently producing 0.0261% returns and takes up 0.1452% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Moderate, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Moderate Duration Current Valuation
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Moderate Duration's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Moderate Duration secures a last-minute Real Value of $8.77 per share. The latest price of the fund is $9.55. We determine the value of Moderate Duration from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Moderate Duration is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Moderate Mutual Fund. However, Moderate Duration's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 9.55 | Real 8.77 | Hype 9.55 |
The intrinsic value of Moderate Duration's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Moderate Duration's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Moderate Duration Fund helps investors to forecast how Moderate mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Moderate Duration more accurately as focusing exclusively on Moderate Duration's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Moderate Duration Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Moderate Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.55 | 90 days | 9.55 | about 1.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moderate Duration to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.35 (This Moderate Duration Fund probability density function shows the probability of Moderate Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Moderate Duration Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Moderate Duration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moderate Duration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Moderate Duration Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moderate Duration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moderate Duration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moderate Duration Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moderate Duration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.44 |
Moderate Duration Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moderate Duration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moderate Duration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 14.1% of its assets in cash |
Moderate Duration Fundamentals Growth
Moderate Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Moderate Duration, and Moderate Duration fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Moderate Mutual Fund performance.
| Total Asset | 1.52 B | ||||
About Moderate Duration Performance
Evaluating Moderate Duration's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Moderate Duration has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Moderate Duration has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 65 percent of its total assets in a diversified portfolio of Fixed Income Instruments of varying maturities, which may be represented by forwards or derivatives such as options, futures contracts, or swap agreements. It invests primarily in investment grade debt securities, but may invest up to 10 percent of its total assets in high yield securities. It may invest up to 30 percent of its total assets in securities denominated in foreign currencies, and may invest beyond this limit in U.S. dollar-denominated securities of foreign issuers.Things to note about Moderate Duration performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Moderate Duration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Moderate Duration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 14.1% of its assets in cash |
- Analyzing Moderate Duration's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Moderate Duration's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Moderate Duration's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Moderate Duration's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Moderate Duration's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Moderate Duration's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Moderate Duration's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Moderate Mutual Fund
Moderate Duration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moderate Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moderate with respect to the benefits of owning Moderate Duration security.
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