Northern Lights Etf Performance

PRAE Etf   39.50  0.20  0.51%   
The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.77, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Northern Lights' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Lights is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northern Lights are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, Northern Lights may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
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ETFs Are Eating the World Markets A.M. for Jan. 15 - WSJ - The Wall Street Journal
01/15/2026

Northern Lights Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,557  in Northern Lights on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  393.00  from holding Northern Lights or generate 11.05% return on investment over 90 days. Northern Lights is currently generating 0.1819% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.1984% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 10% of etfs are less volatile than Northern, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northern Lights is expected to generate 1.57 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Northern Lights Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Northern Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.50 90 days 39.50 
about 8.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Lights to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.44 (This Northern Lights probability density function shows the probability of Northern Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northern Lights has a beta of 0.77 indicating as returns on the market go up, Northern Lights average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northern Lights will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Northern Lights has an alpha of 0.0726, implying that it can generate a 0.0726 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Northern Lights Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northern Lights

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Lights. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.3439.5440.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.9039.1040.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northern Lights. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northern Lights' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northern Lights' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Northern Lights.

Northern Lights Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Lights is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Lights' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Lights, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Lights within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.77
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

About Northern Lights Performance

By analyzing Northern Lights' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Northern Lights' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Northern Lights has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern Lights has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Northern Lights is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NYSE ARCA exchange.