T Rowe Price Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PRGFX Fund  USD 106.49  0.74  0.70%   
The entity has a beta of 1.34, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, T Rowe will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in T Rowe Price are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, T Rowe may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026.
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Expense Ratio Date30th of April 2025
Expense Ratio0.6500
  

T Rowe Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,712  in T Rowe Price on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  937.00  from holding T Rowe Price or generate 9.65% return on investment over 90 days. T Rowe Price is currently producing 0.1763% returns and takes up 2.2311% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 20% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than PRGFX, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon T Rowe is expected to generate 2.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

T Rowe Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
106.49
Please note that T Rowe's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. T Rowe Price has a current Real Value of $111.44 per share. The regular price of the fund is $106.49. We determine the value of T Rowe Price from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some future date, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since T Rowe is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of PRGFX Mutual Fund. However, T Rowe's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  106.49 Real  111.44 Hype  106.49 Naive  108.79
The intrinsic value of T Rowe's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence T Rowe's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
111.44
Real Value
113.67
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of T Rowe Price helps investors to forecast how PRGFX mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of T Rowe more accurately as focusing exclusively on T Rowe's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
104.44107.28110.12
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.26106.49108.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
106.55108.79111.02
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for T Rowe Price extending back to May 15, 1986. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of T Rowe stands at 106.49, as last reported on the 27th of January, with the highest price reaching 106.49 and the lowest price hitting 106.49 during the day.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

T Rowe Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PRGFX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 106.49 90 days 106.49 
about 16.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of T Rowe to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.72 (This T Rowe Price probability density function shows the probability of PRGFX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.34 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, T Rowe will likely underperform. Additionally T Rowe Price has an alpha of 0.1247, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   T Rowe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for T Rowe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as T Rowe Price. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.26106.49108.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.84111.44113.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
106.55108.79111.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
104.44107.28110.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as T Rowe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against T Rowe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, T Rowe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in T Rowe Price.

T Rowe Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. T Rowe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the T Rowe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold T Rowe Price, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of T Rowe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.34
σ
Overall volatility
6.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

T Rowe Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of T Rowe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for T Rowe Price can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 92.09% of its assets in stocks

T Rowe Fundamentals Growth

PRGFX Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of T Rowe, and T Rowe fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PRGFX Mutual Fund performance.

About T Rowe Performance

Evaluating T Rowe's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if T Rowe has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if T Rowe has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in stocks of companies with growth characteristics. For purposes of the funds 80 percent investment policy, the funds managers consider a company to have growth characteristics if the companys securities are represented in an appropriate third-party growth-oriented index. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about T Rowe Price performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about T Rowe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for T Rowe Price help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 92.09% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating T Rowe's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate T Rowe's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing T Rowe's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether T Rowe's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining T Rowe's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating T Rowe's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of T Rowe's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of T Rowe's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into T Rowe's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating T Rowe's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact T Rowe's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in PRGFX Mutual Fund

T Rowe financial ratios help investors to determine whether PRGFX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PRGFX with respect to the benefits of owning T Rowe security.
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