AFP Provida (Chile) Performance

PROVIDA Stock  CLP 4,998  34.20  0.68%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.32, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AFP Provida's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AFP Provida is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, AFP Provida has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to confirm AFP Provida's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if AFP Provida performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AFP Provida has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow62.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities70.3 B
  

AFP Provida Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  577,748  in AFP Provida on December 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (77,958) from holding AFP Provida or give up 13.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. AFP Provida is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.6478% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 14% of stocks are less volatile than AFP, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AFP Provida is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.15 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of volatility.

AFP Provida Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AFP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,998 90 days 4,998 
over 95.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFP Provida to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.77 (This AFP Provida probability density function shows the probability of AFP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AFP Provida has a beta of 0.32 indicating as returns on the market go up, AFP Provida average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AFP Provida will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AFP Provida has an alpha of 0.056, implying that it can generate a 0.056 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AFP Provida Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AFP Provida

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFP Provida. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,9964,9985,000
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,9784,9795,498
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,1175,1195,121
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,9984,9984,998
Details

AFP Provida Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFP Provida is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFP Provida's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFP Provida, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFP Provida within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
289.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

AFP Provida Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFP Provida for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFP Provida can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AFP Provida generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

AFP Provida Fundamentals Growth

AFP Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AFP Provida, and AFP Provida fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AFP Stock performance.

About AFP Provida Performance

By analyzing AFP Provida's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into AFP Provida's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if AFP Provida has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if AFP Provida has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones Provida SA operates as an investment arm of MetLife, Inc. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile. AFP PROVIDA is traded on Commodity Exchange in Exotistan.

Things to note about AFP Provida performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AFP Provida for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AFP Provida help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AFP Provida generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating AFP Provida's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AFP Provida's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing AFP Provida's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AFP Provida's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AFP Provida's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AFP Provida's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AFP Provida's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AFP Provida's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AFP Provida's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AFP Provida's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AFP Provida's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for AFP Stock analysis

When running AFP Provida's price analysis, check to measure AFP Provida's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AFP Provida is operating at the current time. Most of AFP Provida's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AFP Provida's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AFP Provida's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AFP Provida to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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