Cref Social Choice Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

QCSCPX Fund  USD 431.89  1.90  0.44%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Cref Social's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cref Social is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cref Social Choice are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Cref Social is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Cref Social Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  41,924  in Cref Social Choice on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,265  from holding Cref Social Choice or generate 3.02% return on investment over 90 days. Cref Social Choice is generating 0.0506% of daily returns assuming 0.4714% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 4% of all funds have less volatile historical return distribution than Cref Social, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cref Social is expected to generate 1.07 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.6 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Cref Social Choice extending back to April 24, 2015. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Cref Social stands at 431.89, as last reported on the 28th of January, with the highest price reaching 431.89 and the lowest price hitting 431.89 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Cref Social Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cref Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 431.89 90 days 431.89 
about 1.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cref Social to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.91 (This Cref Social Choice probability density function shows the probability of Cref Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cref Social has a beta of 0.52 indicating as returns on the market go up, Cref Social average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cref Social Choice will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cref Social Choice has an alpha of 0.0061, implying that it can generate a 0.006071 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cref Social Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cref Social

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cref Social Choice. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cref Social's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
431.42431.89432.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
407.67408.14475.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
432.25432.72433.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
421.65426.48431.30
Details

Cref Social Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cref Social is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cref Social's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cref Social Choice, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cref Social within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
5.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

About Cref Social Performance

Evaluating Cref Social's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Cref Social has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cref Social has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Cref Social is entity of United States. It is traded as Fund on NMFQS exchange.

Things to note about Cref Social Choice performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cref Social for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for Cref Social Choice help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Cref Social's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cref Social's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Cref Social's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cref Social's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cref Social's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cref Social's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cref Social's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cref Social's fund. These opinions can provide insight into Cref Social's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cref Social's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cref Social's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Cref Fund

Cref Social financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cref Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cref with respect to the benefits of owning Cref Social security.
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