Radian (Germany) Performance

RAG Stock  EUR 27.40  1.00  3.52%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.22, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Radian's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Radian is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Radian Group has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to check Radian's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Radian Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Radian Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0318
Payout Ratio
0.2551
Forward Dividend Rate
0.87
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-23
1
Radian Groups Ray Eric sells 496k in stock - Investing.com
12/03/2025
2
Radian Group funds Inigo acquisition with intercompany note - TipRanks
12/29/2025
3
Stock Market Today Dow Rises, SP 500 Flat, Nasdaq Down Nvidia, Intel, Tesla, Northrop, Lockheed, More Movers - Barrons
01/08/2026
4
Published on 2026-01-14 020437 - moha.gov.vn
01/13/2026
5
The Truth About Radian Group Inc Quiet Stock, Big Moves Are You Sleeping On This - AD HOC NEWS
01/22/2026
6
Radian Group Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat
01/28/2026
7
Federated Hermes Inc. Sells 46,641 Shares of Radian Group Inc. RDN - MarketBeat
02/05/2026
8
Radian Group Inc. to Issue Quarterly Dividend of 0.26 - MarketBeat
02/12/2026
9
Earnings call transcript Radian Group Q4 2025 beats expectations with EPS growth - Investing.com
02/19/2026
  

Radian Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,000  in Radian Group on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (260.00) from holding Radian Group or give up 8.67% of portfolio value over 90 days. Radian Group is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.786% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 16% of traded stocks are less volatile than Radian, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Radian is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Radian Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Radian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.40 90 days 27.40 
about 89.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Radian to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.86 (This Radian Group probability density function shows the probability of Radian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Radian has a beta of 0.22 indicating as returns on the market go up, Radian average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Radian Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Radian Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Radian Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Radian

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Radian Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.5827.3729.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4022.1930.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.2327.0128.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.660.700.76
Details

Radian Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Radian is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Radian's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Radian Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Radian within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Radian Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Radian for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Radian Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Radian Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Radian Group has accumulated 36.14 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 28.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Radian Group has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Radian until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Radian's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Radian Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Radian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Radian's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Radian Group has accumulated about 74.11 M in cash with (663.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36.
Over 95.0% of Radian shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Earnings call transcript Radian Group Q4 2025 beats expectations with EPS growth - Investing.com

Radian Fundamentals Growth

Radian Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Radian, and Radian fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Radian Stock performance.

About Radian Performance

By analyzing Radian's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Radian's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Radian has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Radian has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Radian Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the mortgage and real estate services business in the United States. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. RADIAN GRP operates under Insurance - Specialty classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 1942 people.

Things to note about Radian Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Radian for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Radian Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Radian Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Radian Group has accumulated 36.14 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 28.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Radian Group has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Radian until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Radian's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Radian Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Radian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Radian's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Radian Group has accumulated about 74.11 M in cash with (663.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36.
Over 95.0% of Radian shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Earnings call transcript Radian Group Q4 2025 beats expectations with EPS growth - Investing.com
Evaluating Radian's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Radian's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Radian's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Radian's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Radian's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Radian's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Radian's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Radian's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Radian's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Radian's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Radian's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Radian Stock analysis

When running Radian's price analysis, check to measure Radian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Radian is operating at the current time. Most of Radian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Radian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Radian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Radian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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