Rubrik Stock Performance

RBRK Stock   54.55  1.36  2.56%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.57, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Rubrik will likely underperform. At this point, Rubrik has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to check Rubrik's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Rubrik performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Rubrik has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.50)
Five Day Return
8.8
Year To Date Return
(29.52)
Ten Year Return
43.76
All Time Return
43.76
1
Disposition of 2000 shares by Kiran Choudary of Rubrik, subject to Rule 16b-3
11/19/2025
2
Is It Too Late To Consider Rubrik After Its 27.7 percent Weekly Surge
12/11/2025
3
Disposition of 4001 shares by Mhatre Ravi of Rubrik, at 85.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
4
Disposition of 31450 shares by Arvind Nithrakashyap of Rubrik at 76.19 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/17/2025
5
Disposition of 2000 shares by Kiran Choudary of Rubrik subject to Rule 16b-3
12/22/2025
6
Disposition of 100 shares by Thompson John Wendell of Rubrik at 75.19 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
7
Acquisition by Thompson John Wendell of 27500 shares of Rubrik subject to Rule 16b-3
01/14/2026
8
Disposition of 5000 shares by Kiran Choudary of Rubrik subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
9
Rubrik, Inc. Announces Security Cloud Sovereign
01/23/2026
10
Data Security Prospects Result in Bullish Views on Rubrik
01/28/2026
11
Rubrik McLaren Deal Highlights Data Security Role And Valuation Opportunity
01/29/2026
12
Rubrik, Inc. Shares May Have Slumped 26 percent But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely
01/30/2026
13
Assessing Rubrik Valuation After McLaren Racing Partnership And Recent Share Price Weakness
02/04/2026
14
Is It Time To Reconsider Rubrik After The Recent Share Price Slump
02/05/2026
15
The Goldman Sachs Group Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Rubrik Stock Price
02/09/2026
16
Goldman Lowers Rubrik Inc. Target but Reiterates Buy Rating
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow137.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-383.4 M

Rubrik Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,969  in Rubrik on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,514) from holding Rubrik or give up 21.72% of portfolio value over 90 days. Rubrik is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.367% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 39% of stocks are less volatile than Rubrik, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rubrik is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.67 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Rubrik Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Rubrik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 54.55 90 days 54.55 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rubrik to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Rubrik probability density function shows the probability of Rubrik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.57 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Rubrik will likely underperform. Additionally Rubrik has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rubrik Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rubrik

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rubrik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.2851.6756.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.8765.9670.35
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
99.23109.05121.04
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.05-0.11-0.04
Details

Rubrik Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rubrik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rubrik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rubrik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rubrik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.57
σ
Overall volatility
9.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Rubrik Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rubrik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rubrik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rubrik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rubrik has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 886.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.15 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 945.97 M.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Goldman Lowers Rubrik Inc. Target but Reiterates Buy Rating

Rubrik Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rubrik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rubrik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rubrik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding154.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments705.1 M

Rubrik Fundamentals Growth

Rubrik Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rubrik, and Rubrik fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rubrik Stock performance.

About Rubrik Performance

By examining Rubrik's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Rubrik's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Rubrik is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 6.61  8.72 
Return On Tangible Assets(1.00)(1.05)
Return On Capital Employed(2.76)(2.90)
Return On Assets(0.93)(0.98)
Return On Equity 1.88  1.97 

Things to note about Rubrik performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rubrik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Rubrik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rubrik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rubrik has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 886.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.15 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 945.97 M.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Goldman Lowers Rubrik Inc. Target but Reiterates Buy Rating
Evaluating Rubrik's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rubrik's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Rubrik's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rubrik's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rubrik's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rubrik's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rubrik's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rubrik's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Rubrik's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rubrik's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rubrik's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Rubrik is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Rubrik Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Rubrik Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Rubrik Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Rubrik. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Rubrik Stock please use our How to buy in Rubrik Stock guide.
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Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rubrik. Anticipated expansion of Rubrik directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Rubrik assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(1.55)
Revenue Per Share
6.19
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.483
Return On Assets
(0.12)
Understanding Rubrik requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Rubrik's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Rubrik's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Rubrik's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Rubrik's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rubrik should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Rubrik's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.