Recon Technology Stock Performance

RCON Stock  USD 1.33  0.04  3.10%   
The company holds a Beta of -0.27, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Recon Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Recon Technology is likely to outperform the market. Recon Technology right now holds a risk of 4.15%. Please check Recon Technology total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Recon Technology will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
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Over the last 90 days Recon Technology has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Recon Technology is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:18
Dividend Date
2019-12-27
Last Split Date
2024-05-01
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Begin Period Cash Flow110.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities33.7 M

Recon Technology Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  138.00  in Recon Technology on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (5.00) from holding Recon Technology or give up 3.62% of portfolio value over 90 days. Recon Technology is currently generating 0.0226% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.1503% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 37% of stocks are less volatile than Recon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Recon Technology is expected to generate 3.97 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Recon Technology Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Recon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.33 90 days 1.33 
about 67.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Recon Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.78 (This Recon Technology probability density function shows the probability of Recon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Recon Technology has a beta of -0.27 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Recon Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Recon Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Recon Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Recon Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Recon Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Recon Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.335.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.585.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.295.44
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.832.012.23
Details

Recon Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Recon Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Recon Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Recon Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Recon Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Recon Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Recon Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Recon Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Recon Technology may become a speculative penny stock
Recon Technology had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.24 M.
Recon Technology currently holds about 332.86 M in cash with (33.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Recon Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Volume Recap Is Abrdn Healthcare Investors stock trending bullish - Oil Prices Safe Entry Point Alerts - baoquankhu1.vn

Recon Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Recon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Recon Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Recon Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments102.5 M

Recon Technology Fundamentals Growth

Recon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Recon Technology, and Recon Technology fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Recon Stock performance.

About Recon Technology Performance

By examining Recon Technology's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Recon Technology's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Recon Technology is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 131.28  76.68 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.09)(0.10)
Return On Capital Employed(0.14)(0.13)
Return On Assets(0.09)(0.10)
Return On Equity(0.08)(0.09)

Things to note about Recon Technology performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Recon Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Recon Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Recon Technology may become a speculative penny stock
Recon Technology had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.24 M.
Recon Technology currently holds about 332.86 M in cash with (33.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Recon Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Volume Recap Is Abrdn Healthcare Investors stock trending bullish - Oil Prices Safe Entry Point Alerts - baoquankhu1.vn
Evaluating Recon Technology's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Recon Technology's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Recon Technology's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Recon Technology's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Recon Technology's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Recon Technology's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Recon Technology's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Recon Technology's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Recon Technology's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Recon Technology's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Recon Technology's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Recon Technology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Recon Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Recon Technology Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Recon Technology Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Recon Technology. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Recon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Recon Technology guide.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector continue expanding? Could Recon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Recon Technology. Anticipated expansion of Recon directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Recon Technology data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(0.67)
Revenue Per Share
7.288
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.026
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.09)
Investors evaluate Recon Technology using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Recon Technology's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Recon Technology's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Recon Technology's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Recon Technology should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Recon Technology's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.