Reddit Stock Performance

RDDT Stock   139.65  8.58  6.55%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.52, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Reddit's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Reddit is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Reddit has a negative expected return of -0.39%. Please make sure to check Reddit's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Reddit performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Reddit has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
6.55
Five Day Return
0.19
Year To Date Return
(42.27)
Ten Year Return
176.86
All Time Return
176.86
1
Disposition of 18750 shares by Benjamin Lee of Reddit at 240.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
2
Reddit Valuation Check As New Emplifi And Invoca Partnerships Support Monetization Story
01/22/2026
3
Federated Hermes Inc. Invests 165.25 Million in Reddit Inc. RDDT
01/28/2026
4
Reddit Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
02/05/2026
5
Reddit Buyback Signals Confidence As Earnings And Volatility Shape Investor Debate
02/06/2026
6
Baird Adjusts Reddit PT to 200 Following Strong Results, Positive Outlook
02/09/2026
7
Alps Advisors Inc. Has 2.86 Million Position in Reddit Inc. RDDT
02/10/2026
8
Can Reddit Sustain Its Momentum Needham Thinks So
02/11/2026
9
Down More Than 35 percent in 2026, Can Reddit Stock Rebound as Revenue Soars
02/12/2026
10
Market Movers Heres Why Applied Materials is Up 13
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow562.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-218.9 M

Reddit Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  18,755  in Reddit on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4,790) from holding Reddit or give up 25.54% of portfolio value over 90 days. Reddit is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.0851% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Reddit, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Reddit is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.35 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Reddit Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Reddit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 139.65 90 days 139.65 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reddit to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Reddit probability density function shows the probability of Reddit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Reddit has a beta of 0.52 indicating as returns on the market go up, Reddit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Reddit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Reddit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Reddit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reddit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reddit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reddit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
136.48140.57144.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
125.69161.83165.92
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
212.89233.95259.68
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.350.570.80
Details

Reddit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reddit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reddit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reddit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reddit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
32.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Reddit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reddit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reddit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reddit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Reddit has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Reddit is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Reddit has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Market Movers Heres Why Applied Materials is Up 13

Reddit Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reddit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reddit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reddit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding202.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B

Reddit Fundamentals Growth

Reddit Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Reddit, and Reddit fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Reddit Stock performance.

About Reddit Performance

Assessing Reddit's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Reddit's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Reddit is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.17 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.16 
Return On Assets 0.16  0.17 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.19 

Things to note about Reddit performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reddit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Reddit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reddit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Reddit has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Reddit is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Reddit has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Market Movers Heres Why Applied Materials is Up 13
Evaluating Reddit's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Reddit's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Reddit's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Reddit's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Reddit's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Reddit's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Reddit's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Reddit's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Reddit's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Reddit's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Reddit's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Reddit Stock Analysis

When running Reddit's price analysis, check to measure Reddit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Reddit is operating at the current time. Most of Reddit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Reddit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Reddit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Reddit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.