Rational Dynamic Momentum Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

RDMAX Fund  USD 21.05  0.02  0.09%   
The fund holds a Beta of -0.0049, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Rational Dynamic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Rational Dynamic is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Rational Dynamic Momentum has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Rational Dynamic is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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08/30/2024
Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio2.2700
  

Rational Dynamic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,124  in Rational Dynamic Momentum on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (19.00) from holding Rational Dynamic Momentum or give up 0.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Rational Dynamic Momentum is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.5483% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Rational, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rational Dynamic is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.4 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Rational Dynamic Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
21.05
Please note that Rational Dynamic's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Rational Dynamic Momentum holds a recent Real Value of $23.04 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $21.05. We determine the value of Rational Dynamic Momentum from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Rational Dynamic is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Rational Mutual Fund. However, Rational Dynamic's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  21.05 Real  23.04 Hype  21.05 Naive  20.9
The intrinsic value of Rational Dynamic's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Rational Dynamic's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
23.04
Real Value
23.59
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Rational Dynamic Momentum helps investors to forecast how Rational mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Rational Dynamic more accurately as focusing exclusively on Rational Dynamic's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.0521.0521.05
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5021.0521.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.3520.9021.45
Details

Rational Dynamic Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rational Dynamic's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Rational Dynamic Momentum, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Rational Dynamic's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0229

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Negative ReturnsRDMAX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.55
  actual daily
4
96% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Rational Dynamic is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Rational Dynamic by adding Rational Dynamic to a well-diversified portfolio.

Rational Dynamic Fundamentals Growth

Rational Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rational Dynamic, and Rational Dynamic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rational Mutual Fund performance.

About Rational Dynamic Performance

Evaluating Rational Dynamic's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Rational Dynamic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rational Dynamic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund provides exposure to major global asset classes including equity indexes, fixed income indexes, interest rates, commodities and currencies. It will also hold a large portion of its assets in cash, money market mutual funds, U.S. Treasury Securities, and other cash equivalents, some or all of which will serve as margin or collateral for the funds investments.

Things to note about Rational Dynamic Momentum performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rational Dynamic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Rational Dynamic Momentum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rational Dynamic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Rational Dynamic Momentum maintains about 78.1% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Rational Dynamic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rational Dynamic's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Rational Dynamic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rational Dynamic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rational Dynamic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rational Dynamic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rational Dynamic's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rational Dynamic's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Rational Dynamic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rational Dynamic's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rational Dynamic's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Rational Mutual Fund

Rational Dynamic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rational Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rational with respect to the benefits of owning Rational Dynamic security.
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