Redwire Corp Stock Performance
| RDW Stock | USD 12.81 0.48 3.61% |
Redwire Corp holds a performance score of 12 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company holds a Beta of 2.93, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Redwire Corp will likely underperform. Use Redwire Corp sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to analyze future returns on Redwire Corp.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Redwire Corp are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly conflicting fundamental indicators, Redwire Corp showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 30.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -7.2 M |
Redwire Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 737.00 in Redwire Corp on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 544.00 from holding Redwire Corp or generate 73.81% return on investment over 90 days. Redwire Corp is generating 1.2434% of daily returns assuming volatility of 8.2083% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 73% of stocks are less volatile than Redwire, and above 75% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Redwire Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Redwire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.81 | 90 days | 12.81 | roughly 2.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Redwire Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.3 (This Redwire Corp probability density function shows the probability of Redwire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.93 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Redwire Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Redwire Corp has an alpha of 0.9586, implying that it can generate a 0.96 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Redwire Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Redwire Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Redwire Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Redwire Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Redwire Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Redwire Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Redwire Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Redwire Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Redwire Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Redwire Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Redwire Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Redwire Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Redwire Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Redwire Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Redwire Corp has 144.98 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.68, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Redwire Corp has a current ratio of 0.8, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Redwire to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 304.1 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (114.31 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.01 M. | |
| Redwire Corp has about 49.07 M in cash with (17.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of Redwire Corp shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Capital Clean Energy Carriers declares 0.15 dividend |
Redwire Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Redwire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Redwire Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Redwire Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.1 M |
Redwire Corp Fundamentals Growth
Redwire Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Redwire Corp, and Redwire Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Redwire Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.4 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.70) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.40) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 2.47 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 165.15 M | |||
| Price To Book | 2.37 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 7.41 X | |||
| Revenue | 304.1 M | |||
| EBITDA | (21.4 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 49.07 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.17 X | |||
| Total Debt | 144.98 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 4.68 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.98 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (17.35 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (3.11) X | |||
| Total Asset | 292.62 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (348.11 M) | |||
About Redwire Corp Performance
Evaluating Redwire Corp's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Redwire Corp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Redwire Corp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Redwire Corporation, a space infrastructure company, develops, manufactures, and sells mission critical space solutions and components for national security, civil, and commercial space markets in the United States, Luxembourg, Germany, South Korea, Poland, and internationally. Redwire Corporation is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida. Redwire Corp operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 606 people.Things to note about Redwire Corp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Redwire Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Redwire Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Redwire Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Redwire Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Redwire Corp has 144.98 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.68, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Redwire Corp has a current ratio of 0.8, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Redwire to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 304.1 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (114.31 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.01 M. | |
| Redwire Corp has about 49.07 M in cash with (17.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of Redwire Corp shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Capital Clean Energy Carriers declares 0.15 dividend |
- Analyzing Redwire Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Redwire Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Redwire Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Redwire Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Redwire Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Redwire Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Redwire Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Redwire Stock Analysis
When running Redwire Corp's price analysis, check to measure Redwire Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Redwire Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Redwire Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Redwire Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Redwire Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Redwire Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.