Reply Spa Stock Performance

RPYTF Stock  USD 131.79  2.64  1.96%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.13, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Reply SpA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Reply SpA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Reply SpA has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to check Reply SpA's jensen alpha and day median price , to decide if Reply SpA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Reply SpA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow332.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-160.1 M
Free Cash Flow170.5 M
  

Reply SpA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  14,400  in Reply SpA on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,221) from holding Reply SpA or give up 8.48% of portfolio value over 90 days. Reply SpA is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.6617% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Reply, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Reply SpA is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.24 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Reply SpA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Reply Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 131.79 90 days 131.79 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reply SpA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Reply SpA probability density function shows the probability of Reply Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Reply SpA has a beta of 0.13 indicating as returns on the market go up, Reply SpA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Reply SpA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Reply SpA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Reply SpA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reply SpA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reply SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reply SpA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.13131.79132.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
123.22123.88144.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
130.27130.93131.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
131.00140.13149.26
Details

Reply SpA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reply SpA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reply SpA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reply SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reply SpA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
4.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Reply SpA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reply SpA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reply SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reply SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Reply SpA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reply Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reply SpA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reply SpA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.3 M
Dividends Paid20.9 M
Short Long Term Debt15.7 M

Reply SpA Fundamentals Growth

Reply Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Reply SpA, and Reply SpA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Reply Pink Sheet performance.

About Reply SpA Performance

By analyzing Reply SpA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Reply SpA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Reply SpA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Reply SpA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Reply S.p.A. provides consulting, system integration, application management, and business process outsourcing services in Italy and internationally. Reply S.p.A. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Turin, Italy. Reply Spa operates under Information Technology Services classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 11606 people.

Things to note about Reply SpA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reply SpA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Reply SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reply SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Reply SpA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Reply SpA's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Reply SpA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Reply SpA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Reply SpA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Reply SpA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Reply SpA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Reply SpA's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Reply SpA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Reply SpA's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Reply SpA's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Reply Pink Sheet analysis

When running Reply SpA's price analysis, check to measure Reply SpA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Reply SpA is operating at the current time. Most of Reply SpA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Reply SpA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Reply SpA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Reply SpA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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