Sunrun Inc Stock Performance

RUN Stock  USD 18.47  0.28  1.54%   
The entity has a beta of 2.45, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Sunrun will likely underperform. At this point, Sunrun Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0582%. Please make sure to validate Sunrun's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Sunrun Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Sunrun Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Sunrun is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.54
Five Day Return
(4.84)
Year To Date Return
(4.99)
Ten Year Return
129.44
All Time Return
71.49
1
Sunrun Slashes 8.4 percent as Tax Credit Deadline Looms
12/02/2025
2
What Sunrun s Large Employee Share Registration Means For Shareholders
12/12/2025
3
Disposition of 50000 shares by Edward Fenster of Sunrun at 5.08 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/22/2025
4
Disposition of 50000 shares by Lynn Jurich of Sunrun at 19.2776 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
Sunrun Stock Sinks As Market Gains Heres Why
01/05/2026
6
New SunrunHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Funding Could Be A Game Changer For Sunrun
01/12/2026
7
Sunrun Recently Broke Out Above the 50-Day Moving Average
01/13/2026
8
SG Americas Securities LLC Reduces Stake in Sunrun Inc. RUN
01/16/2026
9
Assessing Sunrun Valuation After A Sharp One Day Share Price Move
01/23/2026
10
How Is The Market Feeling About Sunrun Inc - Benzinga
01/26/2026
11
Is Sunruns US500 Million VPP Deal Quietly Reframing Its LongTerm Profit Engine
01/28/2026
12
Disposition of 1100 shares by Lynn Jurich of Sunrun at 19.2582 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow987.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.7 B

Sunrun Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,042  in Sunrun Inc on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (195.00) from holding Sunrun Inc or give up 9.55% of portfolio value over 90 days. Sunrun Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 4.6596% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Sunrun, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Sunrun is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Sunrun Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Sunrun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.47 90 days 18.47 
about 63.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sunrun to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.06 (This Sunrun Inc probability density function shows the probability of Sunrun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.45 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sunrun will likely underperform. Additionally Sunrun Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sunrun Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sunrun

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunrun Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sunrun's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8518.4723.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6015.2219.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8219.4424.07
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.1922.1824.63
Details

Sunrun Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sunrun is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sunrun's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sunrun Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sunrun within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.45
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Sunrun Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sunrun for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sunrun Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sunrun Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sunrun Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sunrun Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.04 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.36 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 559.43 M.
Sunrun Inc has about 522.46 M in cash with (766.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.46.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Sunruns US500 Million VPP Deal Quietly Reframing Its LongTerm Profit Engine

Sunrun Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sunrun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sunrun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunrun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding222.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments575 M

Sunrun Fundamentals Growth

Sunrun Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Sunrun, and Sunrun fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Sunrun Stock performance.

About Sunrun Performance

By examining Sunrun's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Sunrun's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Sunrun is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 77.28  75.48 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.14)(0.16)
Return On Capital Employed(0.23)(0.22)
Return On Assets(0.14)(0.16)
Return On Equity(1.28)(1.22)

Things to note about Sunrun Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sunrun for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Sunrun Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sunrun Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sunrun Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sunrun Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.04 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.36 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 559.43 M.
Sunrun Inc has about 522.46 M in cash with (766.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.46.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Sunruns US500 Million VPP Deal Quietly Reframing Its LongTerm Profit Engine
Evaluating Sunrun's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Sunrun's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Sunrun's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Sunrun's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Sunrun's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Sunrun's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Sunrun's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Sunrun's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Sunrun's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Sunrun's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Sunrun's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Sunrun Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sunrun's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sunrun Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sunrun Inc Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Sunrun Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Electrical Components & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Sunrun diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunrun. Anticipated expansion of Sunrun directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sunrun data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.957
Earnings Share
(11.33)
Revenue Per Share
10.192
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.349
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Sunrun Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Sunrun's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Sunrun's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Sunrun's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Sunrun's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Sunrun should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Sunrun's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.