Commodities Strategy Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

RYMJX Fund  USD 86.34  69.05  399.36%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Commodities Strategy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Commodities Strategy is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commodities Strategy Fund are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward-looking indicators, Commodities Strategy showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio2.3500
  

Commodities Strategy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,618  in Commodities Strategy Fund on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7,016  from holding Commodities Strategy Fund or generate 433.62% return on investment over 90 days. Commodities Strategy Fund is currently producing 12.5979% returns and takes up 75.1143% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Commodities, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Commodities Strategy is expected to generate 101.89 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 101.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.06 per unit of risk.

Commodities Strategy Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
86.34
Please note that Commodities Strategy's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Commodities Strategy shows a prevailing Real Value of $87.2 per share. The current price of the fund is $86.34. We determine the value of Commodities Strategy from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Commodities Strategy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Commodities Mutual Fund. However, Commodities Strategy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  86.34 Real  87.2 Hype  86.34 Naive  63.67
The intrinsic value of Commodities Strategy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Commodities Strategy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
87.20
Real Value
8,721
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Commodities Strategy Fund helps investors to forecast how Commodities mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Commodities Strategy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Commodities Strategy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-7.6319.7947.21
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.3286.348,720
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.2763.67137.54
Details

Commodities Strategy Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Commodities Strategy's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Commodities Strategy Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Commodities Strategy's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1677

Best PortfolioBest EquityRYMJX
Good Returns
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CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
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Estimated Market Risk

 75.11
  actual daily
96
96% of assets are less volatile

Expected Return

 5.01
  actual daily
96
96% of assets have lower returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.17
  actual daily
13
87% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Commodities Strategy is performing at about 13% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Commodities Strategy by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Commodities Strategy Fundamentals Growth

Commodities Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Commodities Strategy, and Commodities Strategy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Commodities Mutual Fund performance.

About Commodities Strategy Performance

Evaluating Commodities Strategy's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Commodities Strategy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Commodities Strategy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks exposure to the performance of the commodities markets. It will invest in exchange-traded products, including investment companies and commodity pools, that provide exposure to the commodities markets and in commodity-linked derivative instruments, which primarily consist of swap agreements, commodity options, and futures and options on futures. The fund also may invest up to 25 percent of its total assets in a wholly-owned and controlled Cayman Islands subsidiary. It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Commodities Strategy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Commodities Strategy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Commodities Strategy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Commodities Strategy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Commodities Strategy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Commodities Strategy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The fund generated-11.0 ten year return of -11.0%
Commodities Strategy maintains about 43.77% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Commodities Strategy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Commodities Strategy's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Commodities Strategy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Commodities Strategy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Commodities Strategy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Commodities Strategy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Commodities Strategy's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Commodities Strategy's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Commodities Strategy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Commodities Strategy's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Commodities Strategy's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Commodities Mutual Fund

Commodities Strategy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Commodities Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Commodities with respect to the benefits of owning Commodities Strategy security.
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